DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.2 - - 75.8 - - 70.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 131 - - 31 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3312 - - 4173 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3288 - - 2848 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4749 - - 5610 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2626 - - 3660 - - 5919 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 327 - - 244 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 345 - - 351 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 539 - - 100 - - -1632 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4210 - - 5510 - - 2927 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -584 - - -1090 - - -3331 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5333 - - 6700 - - 4626 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 96 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 490 - - 180 - - 670 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.2 - - 75.8 - - 70.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.8 - - 56.0 - - 61.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.2 - - 75.6 - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.5 - - 54.7 - - 60.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 131 - - 31 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3312 - - 4173 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 59 - - 84 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98352 10 094 10 063 14 050 98352 90981 18 083 11 083 12 082 90981 85327 16 075 23 098 17 077 85327 80626 13 089 20 086 18 076 80626 76567 16 122 13 091 14 077 76567 72967 15 129 7 108 10 086 72967 69694 7 135 4 091 5 146 69694 66681 13 183 6 307 3 050 66681 63900 6 138 17 238 11 275 63900 61229 11 304 17 251 19 267 61229 58426 22 291 22 278 19 268 58426 55471 36 279 28 278 30 275 55471 52617 40 269 32 273 29 269 52617 50036 33 262 34 272 27 280 50036 47730 24 261 30 263 36 277 47730 45658 27 277 28 267 35 262 45658 43780 40 273 27 275 30 290 43780 42083 33 278 43 290 47 289 42083 40538 23 297 42 285 49 284 40538 39095 31 321 33 321 46 286 39095 37728 41 307 43 338 54 314 37728 36407 43 302 49 326 63 327 36407 35065 43 303 50 320 60 328 35065 33672 43 306 48 339 54 325 33672 32232 43 309 43 338 52 315 32232 30729 43 307 41 324 46 313 30729 29149 38 307 43 311 36 320 29149 27490 33 311 40 304 30 321 27490 25752 33 322 32 311 29 307 25752 23944 32 326 27 313 27 287 23944 22066 24 326 24 310 22 276 22066 20111 20 324 22 310 17 285 20111 18072 21 312 20 313 14 319 18072 15996 25 306 23 319 15 325 15996 14000 24 312 23 325 20 306 14000 12191 21 317 20 323 20 294 12191 10587 19 315 18 300 21 298 10587 9164 18 313 19 295 19 310 9164 7897 17 313 17 300 16 318 7897 6769 15 316 13 312 14 322 6769 5766 13 320 11*327 12 334 5766 4879 10*332 10*335 10 348 4879 4093 9*340 9 347 10 000 4093 3387 8 343 8 351 9 009 3387 2761 8 345 8 354 8 015 2761 2238 8 347 8 356 7 019 2238 1835 7 348 8 359 4 023 1835 1558 7 349 7 359 2 032 1558 1390 7 349 7 359 1*140 1390 1294 6 349 6 360 1*166 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography