DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 73.8 - - 73.3 - - 63.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 371 - - 447 - - 190 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4466 - - 9150 - - 7776 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8207 - - 12049 - - 10469 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9527 - - 14211 - - 12837 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3001 - - 1771 - - 2593 - - 4601 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 501 - - 676 - - 483 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 20 - - 25 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 244 - - 265 - - 272 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -7 - - -10 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2090 - - 245 - - -1374 - - -6479 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11617 - - 13966 - - 14211 - - 11743 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5425 - - -1801 - - -4077 - - -10409 ODpotential blCL - - - 14952 - - 16012 - - 16914 - - 15672 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 65 - - 50 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 73.8 - - 73.3 - - 63.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.2 - - 30.2 - - 28.8 - - 30.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.5 - - 70.9 - - 71.9 - - 65.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.3 - - 29.5 - - 28.2 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 371 - - 447 - - 190 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4466 - - 9150 - - 7776 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98648 23 102 32 111 22 096 19 085 98648 91224 13 109 22 113 13 104 27 090 91224 85437 18 128 8 118 8 127 16 080 85437 80599 13 129 11 171 6 158 9 148 80599 76436 7 132 11 171 4 215 8 174 76436 72763 5 199 3 235 3 185 9 169 72763 69436 5 236 9 273 3 223 2 159 69436 66363 11 231 10 270 3 261 5 244 66363 63508 17 287 10 274 4 359 3 252 63508 60733 26 273 22 262 15 331 7 331 60733 57875 24 281 22 271 29 294 26 286 57875 54952 25 303 23 299 19 296 25 308 54952 52168 37 320 34 317 37 319 34 326 52168 49671 46 322 40 322 46 314 42 315 49671 47447 49 322 46 328 44 321 40 318 47447 45448 48 327 49 328 49 327 42 326 45448 43636 48 337 54 325 55 329 54 334 43636 41978 53 336 57 325 60 328 60 333 41978 40440 55 335 57 326 62 328 56 329 40440 38998 56 336 57 327 59 327 50 326 38998 37641 55 337 57 329 55 326 47 323 37641 36340 53 336 56 330 51 327 46 321 36340 35033 51 335 55 331 49 326 45 320 35033 33694 49 335 51 331 46 326 45 318 33694 32330 48 335 47 330 44 326 42 314 32330 30926 46 334 44 328 43 326 37 307 30926 29474 42 334 42 326 40 326 33 304 29474 27975 34 333 37 321 37 325 31 305 27975 26430 24 329 31 311 33 323 29 304 26430 24843 21 322 29 299 33 315 28 298 24843 23219 24 318 28 296 33 308 29 293 23219 21555 26 315 26 296 32 304 28 292 21555 19847 26 312 25 295 30 302 27 292 19847 18121 25 306 25 296 28 303 26 290 18121 16464 23 301 24 296 26 304 26 290 16464 14955 20 300 20*285 24 298 28 292 14955 13606 18 300 19*274 23*281 29 291 13606 12395 17 298 19 272 24*275 29 289 12395 11303 15 291 20 269 24 274 27 286 11303 10318 14*276 20 267 25 273 25 283 10318 9429 14*266 20 264 25 272 25 282 9429 8632 13 253 20 262 25 271 24 281 8632 7914 13 243 20 261 25 271 24 282 7914 7261 13 240 20 260 25 270 23 282 7261 6673 13 238 20 259 25 270 23 282 6673 6176 13 237 19 258 25 269 22 282 6176 5789 13 236 19 257 24 269 20 281 5789 5521 12 235 18 257 23 269 17 280 5521 5357 12 235 18 257 22 269 13*279 5357 5263 11 235 15 257 18 269 8*277 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography