DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 80.7 - - 78.9 - - 66.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 601 - - 564 - - 151 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10191 - - 13006 - - 12058 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12826 - - 15135 - - 13416 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15040 - - 17855 - - 16907 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1975 - - 1835 - - 2046 - - 3788 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 768 - - 816 - - 514 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 20 - - 16 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 262 - - 285 - - 040 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -19 - - -12 - - -18 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1097 - - -395 - - -1117 - - -4488 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16137 - - 18251 - - 18024 - - 9644 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3387 - - -2755 - - -2467 - - -7332 ODpotential blCL - - - 18427 - - 20610 - - 19374 - - 12487 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 37 - - 73 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 650 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.9 - - 80.7 - - 78.9 - - 66.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.1 - - 16.9 - - 16.5 - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.5 - - 77.5 - - 77.4 - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.9 - - 16.7 - - 16.4 - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 601 - - 564 - - 151 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10191 - - 13006 - - 12058 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98133 24 112 30 156 11 112 18 096 98133 90721 21 119 22 116 19 110 22 088 90721 85009 21 113 16 111 19 099 17 094 85009 80259 19 118 18 110 18 113 16 097 80259 76184 20 103 17 106 15 134 16 105 76184 72611 10 062 19 092 20 134 14 131 72611 69387 7 172 7 104 7 099 17 102 69387 66434 7 147 9 209 2 191 3 167 66434 63731 8 138 16 180 11 199 13 182 63731 61146 14 328 10 140 4 071 22 146 61146 58434 19 263 15 290 28 271 15 227 58434 55568 41 219 47 225 46 243 29 255 55568 52801 38 227 52 227 47 245 38 254 52801 50292 45 253 42 248 49 251 47 253 50292 48038 60 258 62 263 54 261 52 255 48038 45984 70 257 68 262 64 259 56 258 45984 44102 79 253 71 258 71 255 66 258 44102 42369 81 249 73 255 76 253 78 256 42369 40765 83 248 75 254 83 254 86 253 40765 39272 93 251 78 257 92 255 91 251 39272 37880 107 250 88 258 99 253 96 249 37880 36553 114 249 95 257 101 252 102 247 36553 35226 116 251 97 257 100 253 104 245 35226 33868 112 252 95 259 98 256 101 247 33868 32479 93 252 92 259 95 258 96 249 32479 31049 77 250 87 258 91 257 92 251 31049 29573 75 248 82 255 87 257 85 254 29573 28059 74 249 80 254 79 258 70 258 28059 26507 68 251 78 254 63 263 51 259 26507 24918 62 252 72 257 49 270 36 258 24918 23289 54 251 61 259 41 277 34 258 23289 21614 46 248 47 258 36 283 35 255 21614 19889 36 243 36 256 25 287 33 251 19889 18148 28 237 28*255 18*296 22 241 18148 16480 25*235 20*258 16*299 12 241 16480 14959 19*238 20 259 16 298 16 262 14959 13594 16 241 20 260 16 296 15 269 13594 12366 16 242 20 261 16 292 14 279 12366 11258 16 245 20 262 16 288 11 294 11258 10258 16 250 20 263 16 283 9 321 10258 9356 15 254 20 263 16 279 9 359 9356 8548 16 257 20 263 16 276 14 020 8548 7823 16 258 21 264 16 274 18 030 7823 7164 16 259 20 264 16 272 22 037 7164 6572 16 260 20 264 16 271 24 039 6572 6072 16 261 20 264 16 270 24 039 6072 5684 15 261 19 264 15 269 23 040 5684 5414 15 261 19 264 15 269 21 039 5414 5249 14 261 18 264 14 269 18*040 5249 5155 13 261 16 264 12 268 11*040 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography