DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 60.7 - - 61.3 - - 51.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 123 - - -8 - - -75 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3712 - - 5851 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8432 - - 10042 - - 6555 - - 6554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9941 - - 12080 - - 6572 - - 6571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3529 - - 2631 - - 8987 - - 88 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 353 - - 414 - - 80 - - 51 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 17 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 246 - - 224 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -14 - - -8 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 102 - - 1445 - - -3677 - - -1534 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9839 - - 10636 - - 10250 - - 8105 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3051 - - -1341 - - -5834 - - -6060 ODpotential blCL - - - 12992 - - 13421 - - 12406 - - 12631 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 72 - - 80 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 80 - - 270 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 60.7 - - 61.3 - - 51.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.8 - - 36.6 - - 38.9 - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 59.4 - - 61.9 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.6 - - 35.3 - - 37.7 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 123 - - -8 - - -75 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3712 - - 5851 - - 343 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98687 22 102 30 107 20 105 24 086 98687 91240 18 106 19 103 18 099 19 091 91240 85487 14 135 9 119 9 106 18 095 85487 80657 11 130 12 173 5 206 11 111 80657 76462 9 128 6 157 5 171 4 212 76462 72760 3 177 9 237 5 126 11 183 72760 69419 2 208 11 242 6 263 7 187 69419 66356 9 252 1 107 6 217 8 233 66356 63518 19 260 10 307 11 253 11 242 63518 60754 18 255 24 271 15 263 7 263 60754 57864 26 275 22 254 22 297 18 326 57864 54892 25 255 20 280 27 298 25 281 54892 52081 28 308 27 305 21 302 30 316 52081 49565 43 316 33 316 36 322 46 323 49565 47339 45 317 36 326 50 319 50 317 47339 45352 45 327 47 322 50 318 48 325 45352 43559 52 332 48 322 52 321 51 334 43559 41911 60 335 51 325 54 323 59 336 41911 40375 62 335 54 324 57 324 60 332 40375 38936 60 335 56 325 57 323 52 327 38936 37587 60 335 59 328 56 325 44 323 37587 36298 61 336 61 330 56 328 42 324 36298 35007 61 337 59 330 54 330 44 326 35007 33688 59 338 55 329 50 331 46 324 33688 32346 55 338 52 327 45 330 46 320 32346 30973 50 338 49 326 40 328 43 319 30973 29558 43 338 46 325 36 322 39 318 29558 28108 36 338 42 320 35 314 36 314 28108 26623 27 334 37 310 36 307 33 308 26623 25105 23 330 34 303 36 303 30 302 25105 23558 23 330 30 301 37 303 30 299 23558 21982 26 326 27 298 39 304 33 298 21982 20372 30 315 26 295 40 305 35 300 20372 18755 30 309 28 294 37 303 31 300 18755 17209 26 308 28 293 32 294 26 299 17209 15806 23 307 25 289 30 285 24 294 15806 14549 20 298 21 284 29 278 25 287 14549 13417 18 284 18 269 28 270 27 280 13417 12390 18 275 17*255 28 263 30 273 12390 11458 17 270 18*250 27 257 31 270 11458 10612 14*267 18 248 26 249 32 267 10612 9849 12*261 18 247 25 243 33 265 9849 9157 11 258 17 246 24 239 34 262 9157 8524 11 256 17 245 23 236 34 258 8524 7953 10 256 17 245 22 233 34 252 7953 7467 10 256 16 243 21 231 32 246 7467 7088 9 257 15 243 19 229 27 239 7088 6824 8 257 14 243 17 228 21 232 6824 6663 8 257 13 243 15*227 16*225 6663 6571 7 257 10 242 10*224 8*217 6571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography