DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.5 - - 76.2 - - 75.5 - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 82 - - 26 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 927 - - 891 - - 195 - - 558 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1563 - - 1563 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2312 - - 2276 - - 1580 - - 1943 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2147 - - 1468 - - 2061 - - 1100 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 166 - - 179 - - 75 - - 78 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 6 - - 6 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 171 - - 170 - - 034 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 2 - - -2 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 733 - - 697 - - 1 - - 364 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1579 - - 1579 - - 1580 - - 1579 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 205 - - 74 - - -314 - - -132 ODpotential blCL - - - 2107 - - 2202 - - 1894 - - 2075 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 3340 - - 3580 - - 3730 - - 1410 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.5 - - 76.2 - - 75.5 - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.3 - - 73.7 - - 73.9 - - 66.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.9 - - 75.3 - - 75.0 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.8 - - 73.1 - - 73.5 - - 66.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 82 - - 26 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 927 - - 891 - - 195 - - 558 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 96 - - 101 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 19 - - 19 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98189 22 118 20 139 16 088 24 080 98189 90738 15 137 20 100 15 108 19 096 90738 85036 12 108 16 109 14 095 17 102 85036 80325 19 099 18 126 11 095 18 081 80325 76262 21 098 23 107 15 133 13 082 76262 72678 10 092 19 101 21 117 19 123 72678 69467 10 106 9 109 13 089 20 105 69467 66528 13 182 4 189 7 171 9 079 66528 63825 19 186 18 218 15 195 15 192 63825 61241 9 227 21 217 16 226 9 245 61241 58527 14 272 20 263 27 238 10 197 58527 55648 38 257 43 262 32 241 25 218 55648 52875 51 239 50 253 50 246 54 240 52875 50414 53 243 49 256 61 251 63 244 50414 48224 59 252 57 259 73 255 69 255 48224 46228 68 252 69 259 85 258 75 261 46228 44394 74 254 81 253 93 252 83 258 44394 42699 82 253 89 246 94 242 85 249 42699 41130 87 253 88 243 90 236 83 243 41130 39665 86 257 86 249 87 238 85 239 39665 38284 94 267 93 257 91 243 85 237 38284 36947 95 267 98 257 94 245 83 239 36947 35587 91 262 96 250 94 245 79 243 35587 34173 89 259 94 250 94 245 76 245 34173 32709 81 259 94 255 94 247 78 247 32709 31181 62 254 92 255 96 251 76 252 31181 29577 66 255 86 253 94 253 74 260 29577 27900 60 251 78 251 88 253 71 260 27900 26151 58 250 70 251 79 253 71 255 26151 24334 59 248 63 248 71 253 74 249 24334 22451 59 248 58 243 64 255 74 251 22451 20496 55 248 52 241 52 258 70 258 20496 18466 49 245 45 236 40 255 60 261 18466 16402 43 239 40 233 39 256 47 259 16402 14418 35 227 32 230 34 264 40 258 14418 12612 26 207 28 227 27 272 36 266 12612 11000 22 188 25 232 21 274 34 279 11000 9559 23 175 23 237 20 274 26 286 9559 8271 24 172 16 230 18 280 18 297 8271 7121 24 178 12 211 18 291 15 313 7121 6097 23 180 11 204 12 307 12 322 6097 5191 21 177 13 203 7 327 9 342 5191 4387 20 174 13 198 5 009 6 009 4387 3670 18 173 12 192 6 027 16 067 3670 3041 16 173 11 189 8 031 24 062 3041 2519 14*172 8*181 9 032 24 057 2519 2118 12*172 7*173 9 033 22*055 2118 1842 12 171 6 170 8 033 19*053 1842 1675 11 171 6 167 8*033 17 052 1675 1579 9 171 5 167 6*034 13 052 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography