DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/16 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.7 - - 74.3 - - 70.6 - - 60.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 401 - - 499 - - 289 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4666 - - 5862 - - 4130 - - 2167 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6714 - - 7746 - - 6174 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8069 - - 9265 - - 7533 - - 5570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1546 - - 1410 - - 2286 - - 1700 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 512 - - 594 - - 441 - - 126 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 14 - - 19 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 318 - - 317 - - 324 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 9 - - 4 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3285 - - -3465 - - -3721 - - -1946 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11355 - - 12731 - - 11254 - - 7517 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9113 - - -8498 - - -8694 - - -6274 ODpotential blCL - - - 17182 - - 17763 - - 16227 - - 11844 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 43 - - 42 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.7 - - 74.3 - - 70.6 - - 60.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.1 - - 30.4 - - 33.4 - - 40.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.1 - - 71.3 - - 68.7 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.5 - - 29.8 - - 33.0 - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 401 - - 499 - - 289 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4666 - - 5862 - - 4130 - - 2167 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98653 22 123 21 110 17 106 24 095 98653 91176 18 137 16 158 7 104 21 110 91176 85364 15 139 13 164 6 123 7 140 85364 80529 7 193 6 133 8 105 6 127 80529 76376 7 198 4 079 3 114 1 004 76376 72715 2 356 4 350 2 086 2 296 72715 69405 4 300 8 315 11 343 4 000 69405 66355 12 316 11 294 10 307 9 335 66355 63523 8 320 7 314 19 306 19 326 63523 60816 16 317 24 317 22 308 13 326 60816 57993 17 323 24 312 19 313 20 307 57993 55061 26 326 17 309 23 310 34 303 55061 52286 30 318 26 313 34 310 38 306 52286 49804 35 314 35 306 42 310 40 308 49804 47594 42 321 44 313 52 315 46 309 47594 45603 55 322 58 315 57 311 50 305 45603 43787 58 319 61 317 52 312 52 301 43787 42112 56 320 60 318 51 310 55 297 42112 40553 58 322 60 319 53 307 57 294 40553 39090 60 323 61 317 55 305 59 292 39090 37713 59 323 59 315 55 303 60 291 37713 36388 56 323 55 312 55 301 61 290 36388 35055 52 323 48 310 55 298 62 289 35055 33683 49 321 43 309 54 294 62 288 33683 32276 46 317 42 308 52 291 61 287 32276 30819 44 313 43 305 51 291 61 287 30819 29301 42 311 41 304 50 293 59 288 29301 27725 40 309 40 304 48 294 57 287 27725 26091 38 308 39 304 46 294 54 286 26091 24404 35 305 36 303 44 293 52 286 24404 22668 31 300 33 301 42 292 48 286 22668 20878 28 298 31 298 38 289 45 284 20878 19025 26 299 30 297 35 286 42 280 19025 17144 24 301 27 295 32 284 40 276 17144 15334 22 297 25 290 29 280 37 274 15334 13689 22 289 23 283 26 276 33 274 13689 12225 23 283 22 278 23 275 29 277 12225 10922 23 280 18 274 19 275 26 280 10922 9756 20 278 14*282 16 283 23 284 9756 8713 14*281 13*290 16 295 20 289 8713 7783 10*296 13 296 16*309 19 293 7783 6957 9 303 13 312 17*314 18 298 6957 6221 9 314 14 320 18 321 18*305 6221 5557 9 320 15 324 19 324 18*312 5557 4964 9 325 15 327 20 326 18 317 4964 4466 9 329 15 329 20 327 18 319 4466 4080 9 331 15 331 20 327 18 319 4080 3814 9 333 15 331 19 328 17 320 3814 3651 9 334 15 332 18 328 15 320 3651 3558 8 334 13 332 15 329 11 321 3558 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography