DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/13 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 62.1 - - - - - 58.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 271 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2681 - - 3800 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1574 - - 2581 - - - - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2786 - - 3905 - - - - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2025 - - 1507 - - - - - 4265 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 320 - - 414 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 7 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 357 - - 351 - - - - - 355 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -6 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 224 - - -271 - - - - - -2826 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2562 - - 4176 - - - - - 2948 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -702 - - -1941 - - - - - -4681 ODpotential blCL - - - 3488 - - 5846 - - - - - 4803 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 75 - - - - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 62.1 - - - - - 58.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.0 - - 44.3 - - - - - 46.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.6 - - 60.5 - - - - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.7 - - 43.1 - - - - - 45.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 271 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2681 - - 3800 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97095 56 274 63 270 59 281 97095 89756 53 274 54 275 51 276 89756 84081 42 283 45 271 40 277 84081 79379 34 266 33 273 38 278 79379 75332 30 263 27 261 29 278 75332 71756 20 265 20 245 25 280 71756 68517 15 262 19 259 25 281 68517 65536 23 271 24 267 27 270 65536 62760 23 268 26 262 21 265 62760 60057 19 267 25 264 17 286 60057 57227 24 284 26 277 20 306 57227 54289 27 289 25 295 26 307 54289 51489 23 301 28 300 27 306 51489 48974 24 310 28 301 28 312 48974 46720 26 309 26 301 29 316 46720 44678 26 307 26 312 28 326 44678 42812 24 310 29 320 31 338 42812 41096 20 318 29 326 36 340 41096 39509 22 333 28 339 39 349 39509 38038 26 342 30 352 42 002 38038 36671 29 348 33 001 48 010 36671 35363 32 358 38 006 50 019 35363 34040 39 005 40 009 57 028 34040 32670 44 007 42 013 62 028 32670 31249 41 010 42 013 59 024 31249 29761 30 018 40 011 51 022 29761 28195 26 046 31 012 44 022 28195 26551 28 023 23 013 39 021 26551 24824 33 011 16 019 34 020 24824 23015 34 010 19 009 26 013 23015 21127 32 011 22 011 21 002 21127 19153 28 021 23 014 18 358 19153 17086 22 032 22 018 19 001 17086 14973 16 031 20 022 18 001 14973 12934 12 024 16 032 16 359 12934 11085 10 030 11 047 11 006 11085 9447 8 050 8 052 5 035 9447 7996 7 043 6 050 3 053 7996 6707 6 027 5 037 4 337 6707 5563 4 024 6 024 12 339 5563 4553 3 030 7*000 14 339 4553 3664 5 014 7*356 12 333 3664 2881 7*004 7 353 10 336 2881 2180 10*358 7 351 9 341 2180 1562 11 358 7 350 9 346 1562 1047 10 357 7 349 8 351 1047 652 10 357 7 349 8 356 652 380 10 357 6 348 7 358 380 216 9 357 6 348 6*358 216 122 8 356 6 347 4*355 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography