DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.0 - - 70.7 - - 82.5 - - 86.7 - - 80.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 85 - - 336 - - 388 - - 187 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 679 - - 1752 - - 2925 - - 3403 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 1115 - - 2032 - - 2118 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 785 - - 1858 - - 3031 - - 3510 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 526 - - 573 - - 998 - - 1459 - - 3422 Hgt.Variab. W* 156 - - 339 - - 423 - - 351 - - 8 W* B/S 13 - - 24 - - 30 - - 29 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 055 - - 054 - - 087 - - 172 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -2 - - -3 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -575 - - -2418 - - -4202 - - -5228 - - -6382 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1360 - - 4276 - - 7234 - - 8738 - - 6505 sfcLCL ODpotential -10267 - - -9612 - - -9472 - - -9675 - - -11222 ODpotential blCL 11052 - - 11470 - - 12503 - - 13185 - - 11345 blCL maxRH 92 - - 71 - - 47 - - 40 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m 58.0 - - 70.7 - - 82.5 - - 86.7 - - 80.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.5 - - 52.5 - - 51.3 - - 48.8 - - 53.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.3 - - 68.8 - - 80.2 - - 85.3 - - 83.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.3 - - 52.0 - - 50.6 - - 48.1 - - 52.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 85 - - 336 - - 388 - - 187 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 679 - - 1752 - - 2925 - - 3403 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98510 26 106 21 099 20 104 20 097 23 108 98510 91074 19 118 16 119 17 114 20 106 22 104 91074 85322 12 150 15 131 15 135 12 127 20 107 85322 80524 9 127 14 137 10 152 5 140 13 093 80524 76391 5 108 8 138 10 156 3 167 6 085 76391 72751 2 179 4 224 4 216 1 080 0 160 72751 69458 4 258 7 271 8 280 2 334 6 275 69458 66436 10 320 9 292 11 278 9 304 9 291 66436 63639 14 305 11 298 12 279 15 290 11 295 63639 60930 16 300 14 285 13 297 15 283 14 282 60930 58109 18 302 18 275 17 288 16 285 15 278 58109 55192 21 299 18 284 22 266 21 290 19 284 55192 52410 27 281 21 295 20 266 24 280 22 282 52410 49907 26 261 25 280 20 283 23 281 22 277 49907 47668 16 262 25 252 24 268 24 286 21 288 47668 45652 16 290 19 249 24 243 24 268 24 287 45652 43830 20 268 18 274 19 258 20 256 19 272 43830 42163 23 259 22 285 20 293 15 279 16 282 42163 40615 24 260 23 283 23 295 19 290 19 294 40615 39163 24 264 24 286 24 287 21 290 22 289 39163 37793 24 270 24 288 25 280 23 291 24 284 37793 36464 24 274 25 285 27 278 25 291 25 283 36464 35111 23 284 27 283 29 277 27 287 26 285 35111 33703 25 289 29 283 30 275 28 282 28 285 33703 32243 27 290 30 281 30 275 29 276 28 285 32243 30713 28 291 29 282 27 280 27 275 28 290 30713 29099 28 293 27 290 26 286 26 287 27 299 29099 27402 26 298 26 295 27 290 26 298 23 302 27402 25624 24 301 25 293 28 295 22 307 19 312 25624 23765 22 307 23 293 24 301 19 316 17 323 23765 21829 20 314 20 300 17 313 17 318 16 327 21829 19806 18 323 15 318 14 321 13 319 14 324 19806 17692 17 330 15 341 15 332 12 328 11 323 17692 15530 17 335 16 351 15 347 11 335 10 328 15530 13440 17 339 14 357 11 358 7 341 9 337 13440 11534 12 334 11 003 7 359 5 348 8 345 11534 9837 8 314 5 340 6 003 6 008 8 360 9837 8329 4 286 2 235 4 342 5 006 11 011 8329 6988 2 256 4 175 1 317 5 001 12 009 6988 5798 1 297 2 126 4 015 7 020 11 006 5798 4745 6 019 6 069 4 041 3 040 7 005 4745 3818 9 034 4 064 4*047 1*143 3 001 3818 3002 5 067 2 079 3*059 2*163 1 196 3002 2272 4 059 3*037 3 074 2 172 4 183 2272 1627 8 023 3*044 3 085 2 172 6 183 1627 1089 5*018 3 051 3 095 2 173 8 183 1089 677 2*045 3 057 3 104 3 173 9 181 677 394 2 056 2 060 3 109 3 176 9 179 394 222 2 058 2 062 2 111 3 175 8 177 222 123 2 060 2 063 2 108 2 174 5*174 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography