DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 71.4 - - 71.2 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 81 - - 49 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1868 - - 3146 - - 2142 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2310 - - 2830 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3305 - - 4583 - - 3579 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1284 - - 2260 - - 2359 - - 3961 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 280 - - 271 - - 202 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 149 - - 203 - - 125 - - 109 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 8 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -466 - - 409 - - -72 - - -814 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3771 - - 4175 - - 3651 - - 2108 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2741 - - -342 - - -1119 - - -1903 ODpotential blCL - - - 6046 - - 4925 - - 4698 - - 3197 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 100 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 190 - - 290 - - 390 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 71.4 - - 71.2 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.5 - - 57.3 - - 59.4 - - 62.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.6 - - 70.7 - - 70.7 - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 56.3 - - 58.6 - - 61.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 81 - - 49 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1868 - - 3146 - - 2142 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 102 - - 84 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98431 15 076 5 074 13 044 8 045 98431 91052 9 108 15 099 15 067 20 062 91052 85382 18 116 25 105 19 090 21 070 85382 80680 20 103 27 103 17 093 19 082 80680 76634 17 103 19 093 13 111 11 079 76634 73051 17 112 12 095 9 132 4 054 73051 69795 9 129 5 096 9 148 0 089 69795 66794 7 142 7 194 3 158 3 294 66794 64015 5 019 15 188 10 209 13 235 64015 61329 6 308 11 193 12 207 15 226 61329 58527 15 273 14 228 14 250 13 246 58527 55606 31 271 19 255 19 254 14 252 55606 52791 41 260 28 261 31 275 31 279 52791 50249 39 253 49 268 52 272 50 259 50249 47971 50 255 51 253 53 252 46 254 47971 45903 39 249 41 254 42 254 45 261 45903 44022 36 280 48 268 57 262 57 264 44022 42301 87 262 79 257 72 253 64 256 42301 40712 91 255 85 246 69 244 62 257 40712 39236 87 261 68 240 62 243 63 260 39236 37856 83 262 60 247 59 241 68 260 37856 36526 71 252 65 252 56 242 74 260 36526 35176 64 245 64 253 53 245 78 258 35176 33773 55 242 53 252 51 250 75 257 33773 32321 53 243 44 239 49 252 65 257 32321 30805 50 239 45 233 51 249 52 251 30805 29215 48 236 44 240 50 252 50 245 29215 27546 46 238 35 247 46 256 49 247 27546 25800 41 241 29 255 41 250 41 246 25800 23980 31 236 20 260 33 240 40 239 23980 22090 28 235 18 266 12 220 35 245 22090 20125 26 237 21 261 12 249 26 240 20125 18083 21 235 25 249 17 255 24 245 18083 16009 19 238 22 239 20 254 20 258 16009 14011 17 249 17 236 21 253 19 259 14011 12194 14 249 15 230 21 249 15 255 12194 10581 9 263 10 221 19 248 14 236 10581 9150 11 291 10 234 15 248 14 222 9150 7877 14 288 10 261 11 252 10 215 7877 6745 13 268 10 265 9 265 6 203 6745 5741 11 233 10 252 6 277 6 178 5741 4857 10 223 7*227 2 255 8 162 4857 4074 7 209 6*217 3*146 10 150 4074 3373 5*174 5 208 3*133 11 144 3373 2751 5*155 5 200 3 128 10 137 2751 2231 5 150 5 196 3 125 9 130 2231 1832 5 148 4 195 3 121 8 124 1832 1557 5 146 4 195 3 119 7 118 1557 1389 5 146 4 194 2 118 5*114 1389 1293 4 147 4 195 2 118 3*109 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography