DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.9 - - 76.3 - - 80.8 - - 80.3 - - 73.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 105 - - 201 - - 161 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1837 - - 3368 - - 4492 - - 3724 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 1271 - - 2726 - - 3447 - - 726 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 2497 - - 4028 - - 5152 - - 4384 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1407 - - 973 - - 2617 - - 4111 - - 449 Hgt.Variab. W* 243 - - 371 - - 378 - - 115 - - 15 W* B/S 4 - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 278 - - 294 - - 285 - - 209 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -4 - - 3 - - 18 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 667 - - 560 - - 419 - - -91 - - -1089 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1831 - - 3468 - - 4733 - - 4475 - - 1832 sfcLCL ODpotential 63 - - -1956 - - -310 - - -1057 - - -3517 ODpotential blCL 2434 - - 5984 - - 5462 - - 5441 - - 4260 blCL maxRH 94 - - 86 - - 85 - - 100 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 340 - - 770 - - 1210 - - 1490 - - 2170 CAPE Temp@2m 69.9 - - 76.3 - - 80.8 - - 80.3 - - 73.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 64.1 - - 63.3 - - 62.3 - - 62.9 - - 67.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.1 - - 75.0 - - 79.7 - - 80.5 - - 74.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 63.3 - - 61.9 - - 61.1 - - 62.0 - - 66.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 105 - - 201 - - 161 - - 0 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1837 - - 3368 - - 4492 - - 3724 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 74 - - 42 - - 41 - - 99 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98353 8 063 13 093 13 120 2 070 11 064 98353 90905 13 104 16 102 13 125 6 086 16 078 90905 85194 12 095 13 104 12 107 13 103 17 071 85194 80463 22 109 18 109 13 110 17 092 20 085 80463 76398 20 110 23 109 13 097 17 093 20 096 76398 72815 9 107 17 119 18 107 15 101 15 117 72815 69579 6 102 12 146 14 133 12 121 14 134 69579 66619 2 335 7 119 13 159 10 179 9 179 66619 63892 13 224 13 210 10 201 11 211 9 204 63892 61258 14 226 26 210 17 241 17 253 13 288 61258 58503 15 253 28 222 27 235 25 247 28 250 58503 55615 25 244 25 236 24 236 24 244 24 244 55615 52817 41 253 38 250 34 248 35 254 34 262 52817 50280 54 249 52 249 48 247 49 256 46 257 50280 48001 62 245 59 245 53 246 56 250 50 252 48001 45932 62 242 61 240 59 243 56 246 52 252 45932 44041 57 243 59 237 62 241 58 245 52 251 44041 42298 59 249 58 241 65 245 59 243 51 251 42298 40677 67 254 65 246 68 243 61 242 51 252 40677 39163 75 252 75 246 70 244 67 244 54 252 39163 37743 77 248 81 242 76 244 73 243 56 253 37743 36381 77 246 81 240 78 240 76 241 55 251 36381 35010 77 245 77 240 78 238 75 239 51 250 35010 33601 80 243 73 241 74 239 71 238 48 248 33601 32152 85 243 70 242 69 240 61 238 46 248 32152 30643 86 245 69 241 58 235 53 239 38 254 30643 29059 80 249 67 239 56 237 49 241 31 261 29059 27397 69 252 64 239 58 242 39 248 26 264 27397 25653 62 248 60 241 55 244 32 251 24 264 25653 23827 60 247 58 244 53 246 35 254 21 264 23827 21927 60 250 55 248 53 246 40 256 22 277 21927 19948 63 254 49 255 49 249 42 256 26 278 19948 17888 58 257 49 257 47 248 45 256 26 274 17888 15784 53 263 44 260 49 250 46 259 24 276 15784 13753 42 266 39 260 47 259 42 266 21 288 13753 11903 33 272 31 257 38 262 34 268 19 297 11903 10257 23 272 22 248 26 257 20 261 18 293 10257 8794 18 272 17 252 15 261 14 264 17 289 8794 7492 17 284 17 253 12 273 7 281 14 285 7492 6335 13 274 12 261 12 279 6 280 10 277 6335 5307 17 255 13 285 9*285 5 274 7 272 5307 4398 17 246 11*293 8*286 4*251 7 261 4398 3594 14 248 9*295 7 287 4*233 8 244 3594 2873 13*264 8 296 7 287 4 218 11 229 2873 2235 11*277 8 294 7 285 5 208 14 221 2235 1702 11 278 8 294 6 283 5 204 15 215 1702 1293 11 278 7 293 6 283 5 202 16 210 1293 1011 10 279 7 293 6 281 5 199 14 205 1011 840 9 279 7 292 5 281 5 199 11 203 840 743 8 279 6 292 5 280 4 198 5*200 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography