DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.4 - - 46.3 - - 48.1 - - 46.6 - - 38.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 46 - - 287 - - 420 - - 245 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 634 - - 2904 - - 3359 - - 3227 - - 849 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 10902 - - 11351 - - 11074 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 9644 - - 11914 - - 12369 - - 12237 - - 9859 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1087 - - 868 - - 1211 - - 1006 - - 1430 Hgt.Variab. W* 144 - - 414 - - 486 - - 399 - - 50 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 27 - - 29 - - 31 - - 30 - - 24 BL Wind Direction 305 - - 299 - - 294 - - 302 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear 30 - - 29 - - 28 - - 28 - - 30 Wind Shear Max.Converg -27 - - -27 - - -26 - - -30 - - -27 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 323 - - 2655 - - 1689 - - 157 - - -107 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9321 - - 9259 - - 10680 - - 12080 - - 9966 sfcLCL ODpotential -7702 - - -3248 - - -4649 - - -6621 - - -10051 ODpotential blCL 17346 - - 15162 - - 17018 - - 18858 - - 19910 blCL maxRH 49 - - 66 - - 55 - - 41 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.4 - - 46.3 - - 48.1 - - 46.6 - - 38.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.4 - - 30.4 - - 26.1 - - 18.5 - - 19.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.9 - - 48.5 - - 49.8 - - 49.0 - - 43.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.3 - - 29.2 - - 24.9 - - 17.4 - - 18.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 46 - - 287 - - 420 - - 245 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 634 - - 2904 - - 3359 - - 3227 - - 849 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98669 30 104 18 105 25 087 25 103 23 100 98669 91219 20 106 18 100 22 103 19 097 19 102 91219 85460 14 140 11 126 13 124 11 110 15 101 85460 80655 16 142 10 146 11 164 6 092 11 107 80655 76487 9 163 8 170 10 197 3 186 5 150 76487 72790 7 198 6 167 5 205 7 183 4 143 72790 69432 6 232 4 204 10 241 5 239 4 230 69432 66357 8 301 5 221 10 223 7 262 4 208 66357 63512 18 266 8 246 10 241 12 256 10 262 63512 60744 29 263 23 263 14 244 22 259 20 265 60744 57862 18 254 25 243 10 248 15 243 16 263 57862 54897 15 285 26 279 33 297 18 299 15 281 54897 52084 41 287 48 282 51 280 47 288 39 289 52084 49551 50 290 53 279 58 275 56 280 48 283 49551 47279 55 288 59 278 61 274 60 278 57 278 47279 45224 62 280 64 276 67 273 67 275 65 276 45224 43350 68 274 70 275 73 272 71 272 66 275 43350 41627 72 271 77 274 77 270 71 274 65 283 41627 40038 77 270 84 272 80 273 79 282 73 287 40038 38568 82 269 91 272 89 278 89 282 80 286 38568 37207 85 269 95 272 100 277 92 280 81 285 37207 35918 87 269 98 272 104 272 90 281 81 286 35918 34639 89 271 98 271 100 269 88 284 81 287 34639 33339 90 272 95 270 95 271 84 286 81 287 33339 32020 91 272 91 269 92 276 79 287 79 288 32020 30671 90 269 88 271 88 280 77 289 77 290 30671 29285 87 269 84 274 82 282 75 289 75 293 29285 27866 81 270 80 277 77 284 73 289 72 294 27866 26417 76 272 75 280 75 286 73 290 68 293 26417 24943 72 272 73 282 72 288 73 290 65 293 24943 23447 69 271 71 282 69 290 69 290 63 293 23447 21926 67 270 69 280 66 291 65 289 60 296 21926 20374 65 270 66 280 65 292 62 289 57 298 20374 18816 63 270 63 281 63 292 61 290 53 297 18816 17326 61 271 61 282 60 292 60 293 50 295 17326 15974 58 272 59 283 57 291 58 296 48 294 15974 14765 56 273 56 283 54 290 55 299 47 295 14765 13679 54 275 54 284 51 290 52 300 45 296 13679 12698 52 277 49*287 48*291 48*301 43 299 12698 11809 50 280 41*290 42*292 41*301 41 302 11809 11005 47 284 33 296 36 293 34 300 39 305 11005 10279 43*289 29 300 32 294 31 301 36*310 10279 9623 39*295 29 301 31 295 30 302 33*315 9623 9023 34 301 28 302 30 295 30 302 31 319 9023 8480 29 307 27 302 29 296 29 303 28 322 8480 8018 24 310 26 302 28 296 27 303 24 323 8018 7656 20 312 24 302 26 296 25 303 19 324 7656 7405 18 313 22 302 23 296 23 303 13 326 7405 7250 15 313 19 302 20 296 20 304 9 328 7250 7162 10 314 12 301 13 296 13 303 3 337 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography