DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 73.5 - - 73.6 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 80 - - 45 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1625 - - 2600 - - 2120 - - 998 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 1672 - - 558 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2220 - - 3195 - - 2715 - - 1593 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2210 - - 2234 - - 2874 - - 3155 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 205 - - 262 - - 206 - - 71 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 18 - - 10 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 105 - - 164 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -5 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 842 - - 1078 - - 751 - - 163 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1378 - - 2117 - - 1964 - - 1430 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 94 - - 322 - - -55 - - -902 ODpotential blCL - - - 2126 - - 2873 - - 2770 - - 2495 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 100 - - 95 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 820 - - 1720 - - 2020 - - 2110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.8 - - 73.5 - - 73.6 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.3 - - 65.7 - - 66.5 - - 67.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.5 - - 73.0 - - 73.4 - - 72.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 64.4 - - 65.3 - - 66.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 80 - - 45 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1625 - - 2600 - - 2120 - - 998 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 99 - - 78 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98447 19 102 15 094 10 077 10 062 98447 91026 18 098 16 101 19 075 18 087 91026 85340 22 082 14 106 17 077 20 095 85340 80636 18 089 13 113 14 104 17 080 80636 76573 16 099 14 119 15 133 8 075 76573 72969 11 114 11 111 12 152 0 117 72969 69696 6 155 9 158 9 180 4 209 69696 66677 5 186 16 170 11 207 8 219 66677 63883 8 225 9 195 15 199 13 223 63883 61192 16 251 17 245 16 234 18 225 61192 58378 31 256 25 265 20 251 18 244 58378 55426 43 242 38 248 34 252 31 261 55426 52582 44 229 42 240 42 251 42 260 52582 50014 39 234 43 241 42 248 43 254 50014 47718 40 250 44 245 40 246 42 250 47718 45643 48 258 46 246 40 245 41 251 45643 43749 56 251 49 246 41 245 41 251 43749 42007 54 250 50 241 42 252 38 252 42007 40397 61 255 45 241 43 251 34 248 40397 38904 63 246 39 247 38 246 28 251 38904 37513 52 231 38 246 36 241 26 257 37513 36180 50 235 41 239 38 239 28 254 36180 34832 54 228 45 235 41 242 30 249 34832 33437 54 230 50 241 38 248 27 246 33437 31994 46 231 44 247 34 246 27 245 31994 30486 43 220 32 239 30 232 25 233 30486 28896 44 219 29 235 23 229 20 236 28896 27227 41 230 27 252 26 247 16 260 27227 25477 48 233 24 255 16 255 11 265 25477 23650 45 241 25 253 16 267 10 282 23650 21750 31 261 21 263 19 289 8 317 21750 19769 16 284 18 265 19 305 8 333 19769 17701 8 316 10 265 10 317 5 341 17701 15587 5 343 5 210 4 273 4 289 15587 13542 2 229 5 191 8 199 8 263 13542 11683 4 236 1 286 3 249 9 279 11683 10039 7 285 4 350 7 329 8 284 10039 8580 8 307 4 318 7 331 3 270 8580 7281 6 314 2 308 3 338 3 336 7281 6123 3 296 2 354 1 327 5 012 6123 5097 2 233 2 029 1 221 2 054 5097 4194 3 205 2 053 2 173 3 136 4194 3397 3 213 2*067 3*168 3 142 3397 2682 4*222 2*087 3*165 4 158 2682 2051 5*225 3 101 4 165 5*168 2051 1524 5 224 3 106 4 163 5*177 1524 1119 5 224 3 111 4 164 5 178 1119 840 5 224 3 111 4 163 5 180 840 671 5 224 3 114 4 164 5 179 671 574 4 224 3 114 3 163 4 179 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography