DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/13 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.5 - - 61.3 - - - - - 57.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 351 - - 139 - - - - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6685 - - 7072 - - - - - 4653 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9688 - - 9442 - - - - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11513 - - 11900 - - - - - 9481 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1543 - - 2264 - - - - - 3973 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 554 - - 415 - - - - - 120 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 25 - - - - - 23 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 206 - - - - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 20 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 38 - - 61 - - - - - 83 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2243 - - 1674 - - - - - 1117 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9271 - - 10227 - - - - - 8364 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1172 - - 793 - - - - - -86 ODpotential blCL - - - 10341 - - 11107 - - - - - 9567 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 100 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 40 - - - - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.5 - - 61.3 - - - - - 57.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.9 - - 31.5 - - - - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 61.6 - - - - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.7 - - 31.4 - - - - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 351 - - 139 - - - - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6685 - - 7072 - - - - - 4653 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 100 - - - - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97522 32 285 37 278 42 300 97522 90137 33 288 33 291 42 306 90137 84404 32 294 26 303 40 294 84404 79680 29 292 28 292 36 292 79680 75662 18 292 27 300 25 285 75662 72130 21 256 31 271 14 277 72130 68910 20 248 27 254 11 301 68910 65901 13 233 21 243 24 250 65901 63089 13 206 17 246 32 243 63089 60374 16 236 22 226 28 249 60374 57550 36 242 29 245 32 258 57550 54622 48 243 36 246 40 249 54622 51835 50 251 40 247 39 247 51835 49324 56 251 47 248 38 253 49324 47067 63 245 57 246 49 252 47067 45019 67 240 63 243 56 244 45019 43145 70 239 67 241 58 249 43145 41422 73 241 75 242 75 258 41422 39834 82 242 87 241 94 252 39834 38366 91 241 97 239 104 245 38366 37001 93 238 100 237 105 241 37001 35702 92 236 100 236 104 240 35702 34405 92 235 100 235 104 240 34405 33077 92 237 96 233 104 240 33077 31720 90 237 90 232 104 240 31720 30315 81 237 83 233 103 241 30315 28854 68 238 78 233 100 242 28854 27344 62 236 73 229 91 243 27344 25788 65 232 72 223 80 241 25788 24187 66 230 74 224 74 235 24187 22539 63 234 75 230 73 231 22539 20842 56 242 70 237 71 229 20842 19094 48 245 58 240 65 228 19094 17331 43 240 44 235 55 224 17331 15644 44 233 36 225 45 217 15644 14110 44 231 32 224 38 213 14110 12738 37 229 27*221 33 212 12738 11507 27*223 25*216 31 213 11507 10400 22*214 25 213 29*216 10400 9404 20 206 25 209 28*220 9404 8510 19 203 25 207 27 223 8510 7710 19 201 25 204 26 225 7710 6994 19 199 26 203 25 227 6994 6344 18 197 26 201 24 229 6344 5761 18 196 25 200 22 231 5761 5271 17 195 25 200 19 234 5271 4890 17 194 25 199 17 236 4890 4627 16 194 23 199 14 237 4627 4465 15 194 21 198 12 237 4465 4373 13 194 17 198 9 236 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography