DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.8 - - 80.8 - - 86.9 - - 85.1 - - 74.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 99 - - 447 - - 485 - - 187 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1219 - - 9378 - - 12344 - - 11866 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 11985 - - 14471 - - 13423 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top 6047 - - 14206 - - 17172 - - 16694 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1379 - - 2091 - - 1388 - - 1464 - - 11780 Hgt.Variab. W* 206 - - 674 - - 759 - - 547 - - 4 W* B/S 37 - - 12 - - 13 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 018 - - 266 - - 267 - - 275 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 12 - - 1 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -9 - - 10 - - 12 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6269 - - -809 - - -1372 - - -622 - - -10224 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12317 - - 15016 - - 18545 - - 17317 - - 14600 sfcLCL ODpotential -10105 - - -5661 - - -4430 - - -3784 - - -15379 ODpotential blCL 16152 - - 19867 - - 21602 - - 20478 - - 19754 blCL maxRH 39 - - 29 - - 49 - - 60 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.8 - - 80.8 - - 86.9 - - 85.1 - - 74.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.2 - - 29.5 - - 19.0 - - 23.3 - - 26.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.0 - - 79.0 - - 85.1 - - 84.8 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.0 - - 29.0 - - 18.8 - - 23.1 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 99 - - 447 - - 485 - - 187 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1219 - - 9378 - - 12344 - - 11866 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98403 15 113 15 129 16 111 19 135 7 118 98403 90962 24 108 12 112 20 127 15 115 14 114 90962 85245 22 112 17 120 20 114 16 116 17 109 85245 80513 18 103 21 123 13 114 17 102 16 104 80513 76428 17 120 17 140 9 146 12 083 14 097 76428 72799 8 096 12 143 14 179 2 151 5 049 72799 69512 5 146 6 157 8 169 9 204 3 264 69512 66509 6 255 4 198 8 200 12 226 9 261 66509 63748 14 250 13 252 12 242 15 238 15 260 63748 61082 16 278 19 255 18 279 21 266 17 267 61082 58301 25 274 21 268 26 280 25 275 21 271 58301 55412 18 277 26 279 30 271 25 274 26 272 55412 52645 20 292 25 274 29 272 26 275 27 272 52645 50145 23 285 18 286 27 270 27 273 27 273 50145 47901 21 309 17 307 20 265 29 270 27 268 47901 45880 26 316 19 322 12 289 28 260 25 259 45880 44051 22 329 20 328 11 327 16 258 28 254 44051 42379 22 357 17 332 11 335 12 279 26 237 42379 40828 24 013 14 341 9 329 11 288 21 235 40828 39376 26 018 12 346 9 324 10 291 17 242 39376 38014 27 010 13 345 11 322 10 292 16 253 38014 36705 28 359 15 343 13 321 12 292 18 259 36705 35384 26 352 17 343 14 320 14 291 18 268 35384 34026 23 350 18 344 14 317 16 286 19 286 34026 32635 22 348 17 347 13 316 14 282 19 288 32635 31201 22 345 17 355 12 321 13 283 16 278 31201 29711 22 345 17 358 13 326 12 294 12 271 29711 28168 22 347 18 353 14 327 12 309 9 267 28168 26570 22 350 18 340 14 326 13 315 7 277 26570 24922 20 348 19 329 16 326 13 314 7 304 24922 23230 16 346 19 326 16 330 12 315 9 311 23230 21485 15 345 18 325 15 331 9 320 10 278 21485 19678 12 344 15 325 12 324 7 308 12 264 19678 17849 5 339 10 330 9*299 8*292 5 270 17849 16099 3 206 8 302 10*269 8*290 1 013 16099 14510 4 202 12*280 10 266 9 287 2 276 14510 13086 6 241 15*271 10 265 9 285 5 281 13086 11807 9 254 14 270 10 265 9 283 8 273 11807 10655 9 271 12 271 11 266 12 275 12 269 10655 9618 10 282 12 271 11 267 13 272 14 267 9618 8687 15 277 11 270 12 267 14 271 16 266 8687 7853 18 276 10 268 12 268 14 270 18 266 7853 7106 17 280 9 265 12 268 14 269 19 265 7106 6429 12*286 7 257 13 268 15 269 19 265 6429 5822 4*307 6 252 13 268 15 268 20 265 5822 5310 1 043 5 245 12 268 15 268 19 264 5310 4913 1 056 5 239 12 268 14 268 16 265 4913 4638 1 061 5 236 12 269 14 268 12 265 4638 4471 1 073 4 233 12 268 13 268 9*265 4471 4374 1 076 4 233 10 268 11 267 5*267 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography