DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.8 - - 62.7 - - 64.1 - - 61.7 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 39 - - 491 - - 546 - - 257 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 6055 - - 7182 - - 6244 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5246 - - 9572 - - 10527 - - 9438 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top 5263 - - 11116 - - 12243 - - 11305 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4594 - - 1519 - - 1565 - - 1945 - - 4861 Hgt.Variab. W* 91 - - 607 - - 665 - - 494 - - 19 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 28 - - 33 - - 31 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 265 - - 275 - - 275 - - 283 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -12 - - -12 - - -12 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5379 - - -1173 - - -1255 - - -3161 - - -7862 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10642 - - 12290 - - 13499 - - 14466 - - 13124 sfcLCL ODpotential -8999 - - -4547 - - -5036 - - -7710 - - -12946 ODpotential blCL 14262 - - 15663 - - 17279 - - 19015 - - 18208 blCL maxRH 30 - - 43 - - 39 - - 31 - - 30 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.8 - - 62.7 - - 64.1 - - 61.7 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.3 - - 26.7 - - 22.6 - - 16.2 - - 14.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.4 - - 60.0 - - 61.2 - - 60.1 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.8 - - 26.0 - - 22.0 - - 15.5 - - 13.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 39 - - 491 - - 546 - - 257 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 6055 - - 7182 - - 6244 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98655 32 099 19 099 27 088 25 107 24 097 98655 91209 20 102 19 108 18 103 18 098 19 105 91209 85458 16 130 14 131 14 118 11 098 16 108 85458 80656 15 150 11 141 10 177 6 088 13 110 80656 76483 9 164 10 163 10 190 6 175 3 148 76483 72787 5 209 5 184 9 181 6 179 5 206 72787 69444 8 230 10 211 10 228 6 233 6 168 69444 66369 11 259 9 227 12 225 6 279 8 211 66369 63527 18 265 6 243 16 239 17 269 6 260 63527 60769 24 280 22 263 21 250 29 249 14 280 60769 57874 30 272 37 262 30 273 27 258 26 261 57874 54890 25 277 36 267 35 268 27 270 23 264 54890 52078 40 295 37 274 41 271 45 287 45 291 52078 49560 43 289 46 284 52 279 58 282 53 283 49560 47301 45 290 57 286 65 279 66 278 59 278 47301 45252 52 289 65 281 73 274 71 275 66 275 45252 43381 63 285 71 274 78 269 76 270 71 273 43381 41661 71 279 75 269 82 266 77 267 68 275 41661 40070 75 272 80 268 87 265 76 271 73 283 40070 38596 76 269 84 267 91 266 86 278 81 283 38596 37226 77 268 87 267 95 269 95 276 84 281 37226 35923 78 269 89 268 98 270 94 274 82 282 35923 34621 79 269 92 270 98 269 90 277 82 284 34621 33293 79 270 93 271 96 267 87 279 81 286 33293 31939 79 270 90 270 94 269 84 279 80 289 31939 30547 79 269 84 270 90 273 81 279 78 292 30547 29106 77 269 79 272 84 275 78 281 75 294 29106 27619 74 268 74 274 78 276 75 284 69 293 27619 26090 70 267 70 277 72 280 74 286 65 290 26090 24521 65 268 68 277 68 284 71 286 64 291 24521 22918 61 271 66 276 66 285 68 285 62 292 22918 21275 58 272 65 275 64 286 66 284 57 292 21275 19584 56 271 63 274 61 287 63 286 53 289 19584 17876 53 270 60 276 58 288 59 291 50 288 17876 16236 50 270 57 278 54 288 55 294 46 288 16236 14745 47 269 53 281 51 289 50 295 43 289 14745 13415 44 269 48 284 45 287 44 293 40 291 13415 12224 42 268 41 286 37*282 36*289 36 294 12224 11152 40 268 33*284 33*277 32*284 32 298 11152 10187 39 268 29*279 33 276 32 284 29 302 10187 9319 38 270 29 278 33 276 32 283 26 304 9319 8541 36 273 29 277 33 275 32 283 25 306 8541 7842 34 275 29 275 33 275 32 282 24 307 7842 7205 31 278 29 275 33 274 32 282 24 306 7205 6634 27 276 29 274 33 274 31 282 23 305 6634 6150 25 273 28 273 32 273 30 282 22 303 6150 5774 22 270 27 272 31 273 30 282 20 301 5774 5514 20 267 26 272 30 273 28 281 17 300 5514 5354 18*267 25 272 28 273 26 281 14 298 5354 5262 14*265 20 271 23 273 21 281 9*297 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography