DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/13 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.4 - - 58.6 - - - - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 146 - - 176 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2559 - - 3974 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2023 - - 3157 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3271 - - 4686 - - - - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2453 - - 2510 - - - - - 2282 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 300 - - 373 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 334 - - 348 - - - - - 290 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 9 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 594 - - 889 - - - - - -457 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2677 - - 3797 - - - - - 1186 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 150 - - 316 - - - - - -1173 ODpotential blCL - - - 3121 - - 4370 - - - - - 1902 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 85 - - - - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 60 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.4 - - 58.6 - - - - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.3 - - 44.6 - - - - - 50.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.2 - - 57.4 - - - - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.1 - - 43.3 - - - - - 49.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 146 - - 176 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2559 - - 3974 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 41 - - - - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97244 49 276 63 271 55 281 97244 89875 59 277 59 274 53 281 89875 84179 49 277 48 273 47 275 84179 79463 41 272 34 274 39 275 79463 75405 34 262 31 273 33 275 75405 71816 24 263 29 255 28 282 71816 68567 19 267 25 247 29 284 68567 65587 21 263 25 256 28 272 65587 62817 24 269 28 270 26 263 62817 60118 25 265 27 267 19 264 60118 57289 24 273 24 269 16 292 57289 54351 28 287 26 291 26 303 54351 51553 26 290 32 299 31 303 51553 49038 23 299 31 300 32 308 49038 46785 25 305 30 301 32 312 46785 44742 25 307 29 303 31 321 44742 42872 25 305 27 311 34 331 42872 41150 24 306 29 316 37 339 41150 39557 24 316 31 323 38 340 39557 38076 28 326 35 337 40 349 38076 36691 29 331 39 347 43 355 36691 35364 26 343 42 352 43 002 35364 34029 27 001 43 356 48 012 34029 32656 42 006 46 002 50 016 32656 31246 50 008 50 004 47 017 31246 29778 56 007 48 007 46 017 29778 28235 51 014 45 011 44 016 28235 26618 49 020 43 007 36 014 26618 24926 49 021 40 010 25 004 24926 23159 51 021 40 016 17 358 23159 21314 51 025 38 020 17 001 21314 19384 46 029 34 019 21 007 19384 17366 30 032 28 021 23 010 17366 15301 15 029 21 021 23 010 15301 13307 9 022 17 021 21 009 13307 11493 10 021 11 021 16 015 11493 9884 11 018 6 016 12 024 9884 8458 10 011 5 009 5 015 8458 7195 10 359 4 016 7 356 7195 6075 10 351 5 016 11 001 6075 5083 9 349 5*013 12 354 5083 4210 8 347 5*007 12 345 4210 3440 6*341 6 357 12 331 3440 2752 6*337 6 350 15 320 2752 2144 6 335 6 345 17 314 2144 1638 5 334 6 341 16 309 1638 1250 5 332 6 337 14 303 1250 983 5 331 6 336 11 298 983 821 5 330 5 335 9*295 821 729 4 329 5 334 5*290 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography