DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.7 - - 60.1 - - 67.7 - - 66.5 - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 60 - - 211 - - 244 - - 137 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 288 - - 1152 - - 1698 - - 1113 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1174 - - 1618 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1000 - - 1865 - - 2411 - - 1826 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 744 - - 522 - - 743 - - 683 - - 818 Hgt.Variab. W* 105 - - 258 - - 311 - - 225 - - 13 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 236 - - 232 - - 267 - - 286 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 239 - - -142 - - -786 - - -1244 - - -1049 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 761 - - 2008 - - 3197 - - 3070 - - 1778 sfcLCL ODpotential 137 - - -9727 - - -9076 - - -9606 - - -11312 ODpotential blCL 863 - - 11592 - - 11487 - - 11432 - - 12041 blCL maxRH 100 - - 92 - - 79 - - 75 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.7 - - 60.1 - - 67.7 - - 66.5 - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.8 - - 53.7 - - 56.0 - - 55.4 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.2 - - 58.7 - - 66.0 - - 65.5 - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.6 - - 52.7 - - 54.7 - - 54.2 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 60 - - 211 - - 244 - - 137 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 288 - - 1152 - - 1698 - - 1113 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 69 - - 17 - - 0 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98465 23 113 19 107 23 099 21 097 20 105 98465 91029 20 112 19 107 21 114 20 103 22 106 91029 85293 16 130 15 110 16 127 14 120 21 110 85293 80509 11 118 14 143 8 140 7 129 13 098 80509 76374 3 142 9 157 8 184 4 139 6 078 76374 72736 6 167 3 222 8 204 1 136 1 051 72736 69456 1 084 5 281 5 243 2 212 5 274 69456 66441 7 308 7 261 8 287 4 252 10 261 66441 63652 11 289 8 269 10 280 8 286 11 265 63652 60961 13 298 12 282 11 276 13 289 12 270 60961 58160 15 292 15 285 12 272 17 275 15 282 58160 55245 18 274 18 282 14 276 16 258 19 272 55245 52458 19 265 19 276 18 280 12 272 17 259 52458 49953 19 258 18 263 21 256 16 289 12 272 49953 47714 11 247 13 226 19 230 18 272 13 282 47714 45692 6 266 9 206 18 214 17 247 14 265 45692 43860 9 232 10 230 17 221 14 233 8 275 43860 42187 14 251 9 266 12 226 14 219 6 295 42187 40638 21 242 14 288 8 274 10 216 5 267 40638 39190 21 244 17 276 11 287 9 228 5 233 39190 37824 18 254 17 272 12 278 9 239 8 224 37824 36502 17 266 15 273 13 272 10 246 9 233 36502 35155 14 266 12 273 12 270 9 250 9 245 35155 33756 10 258 9 268 10 264 8 255 9 247 33756 32306 10 267 8 269 10 257 8 253 8 256 32306 30790 12 288 10 274 12 253 11 259 9 286 30790 29195 12 299 11 264 15 253 13 275 11 303 29195 27521 12 302 15 255 15 262 12 287 10 301 27521 25767 13 317 12 275 11 270 10 287 10 301 25767 23931 12 318 10 286 12 277 11 293 10 309 23931 22017 12 312 11 281 12 287 10 305 10 330 22017 20022 13 310 11 292 10 307 8 337 8 004 20022 17940 12 309 9 306 8 333 8 008 9 029 17940 15813 9 316 7 329 7 007 7 031 9 047 15813 13758 7 329 5 349 7 025 7 042 6 046 13758 11885 6 336 4 347 6 027 5 057 4 031 11885 10218 7 343 6 346 7 034 6 071 3 025 10218 8735 7 355 6 355 7 036 5 079 4 034 8735 7418 6 003 5 003 6 042 4 083 7 048 7418 6247 3 017 4 013 4 060 2 090 10 054 6247 5211 1 094 2 033 4 111 3 157 10 052 5211 4301 2 129 3 122 7 149 7 162 6 047 4301 3500 2 195 6 155 7 163 7 171 1 041 3500 2787 7 215 8 181 6*189 6 192 4 232 2787 2162 12 227 7*202 5*255 5*268 9 253 2162 1646 11 231 5*226 6 267 8*287 11 271 1646 1254 10*234 5 231 6 269 9 286 11 279 1254 985 8*236 5 235 6 271 9 286 10 281 985 822 7 236 5 236 6 271 8 285 9*282 822 729 5 237 4 238 5 270 7 284 6*280 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography