DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 71.7 - - 71.1 - - 63.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 171 - - 29 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2467 - - 5307 - - 4843 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2439 - - 4650 - - 3000 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3667 - - 6507 - - 6043 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2221 - - 2711 - - 2849 - - 5286 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 295 - - 412 - - 251 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 119 - - 107 - - 120 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 5 - - 9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -807 - - 1020 - - 1419 - - -1179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4474 - - 5487 - - 4624 - - 2413 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2873 - - -239 - - -60 - - -2698 ODpotential blCL - - - 6540 - - 6746 - - 6103 - - 3932 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 79 - - 86 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 100 - - 260 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 71.7 - - 71.1 - - 63.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.1 - - 51.8 - - 55.0 - - 57.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 70.9 - - 71.1 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 50.6 - - 53.6 - - 56.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 171 - - 29 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2467 - - 5307 - - 4843 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 17 - - 44 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98611 32 060 16 090 21 040 26 027 98611 91260 22 068 20 082 19 048 23 040 91260 85594 18 091 20 062 16 063 16 068 85594 80867 16 101 16 060 13 071 14 076 80867 76760 10 111 9 075 4 084 10 044 76760 73110 7 148 7 134 6 219 5 323 73110 69795 10 226 6 188 9 235 6 275 69795 66742 12 242 10 214 12 248 12 268 66742 63916 13 240 9 231 11 258 13 257 63916 61177 17 255 17 268 17 273 19 265 61177 58300 24 252 23 267 21 267 24 255 58300 55292 20 256 27 266 28 258 26 258 55292 52416 23 253 34 254 33 252 34 261 52416 49841 25 244 33 244 30 249 30 255 49841 47545 26 254 28 252 27 256 24 257 47545 45461 30 254 35 258 33 266 35 274 45461 43570 28 255 36 250 43 251 44 255 43570 41861 32 269 34 252 35 236 39 247 41861 40299 33 267 39 245 34 245 34 244 40299 38847 34 258 36 238 46 260 33 246 38847 37493 40 257 27 258 60 264 38 262 37493 36192 39 255 41 269 60 264 44 266 36192 34869 32 250 42 262 50 265 41 262 34869 33490 29 250 42 255 37 257 32 254 33490 32058 24 247 41 253 33 248 27 247 32058 30558 23 247 33 256 26 243 25 239 30558 28977 22 239 24 254 26 233 25 230 28977 27316 25 229 23 248 28 221 26 229 27316 25579 27 225 23 240 27 225 26 223 25579 23768 27 227 23 235 26 224 30 228 23768 21887 21 234 24 237 25 226 28 229 21887 19933 16 232 19 239 21 225 22 218 19933 17899 12 214 12 225 16 210 18 210 17899 15828 6 194 7 226 13 209 11 194 15828 13843 4 155 5 206 6 199 8 151 13843 12046 10 127 7 156 4 158 9 115 12046 10451 14 122 10 120 8 129 12 110 10451 9033 14 113 13 111 12 128 15 111 9033 7771 13 103 13 109 13 131 16 118 7771 6649 11 100 12*110 13*128 15 130 6649 5655 10 104 10*109 12*126 15 141 5655 4777 9 114 10 109 12 124 16 142 4777 3999 8*121 10 108 12 122 17 140 3999 3301 6*121 9 107 11 119 17 139 3301 2683 5 120 9 107 11 118 17 138 2683 2167 5 120 8 106 10 116 16 137 2167 1769 5 118 8 105 9 115 13 136 1769 1495 4 116 7 104 9 114 9 136 1495 1329 4 117 6 103 8 113 6*135 1329 1234 3 114 5 103 5 111 3*135 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography