DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.4 - - 77.9 - - 80.6 - - 79.3 - - 68.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 228 - - 583 - - 547 - - 143 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1613 - - 9284 - - 13231 - - 11594 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5676 - - 12062 - - 15305 - - 12994 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 6462 - - 14133 - - 18080 - - 16443 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2332 - - 4538 - - 2110 - - 1956 - - 1128 Hgt.Variab. W* 300 - - 737 - - 812 - - 497 - - 0 W* B/S 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 15 - - 17 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 221 - - 281 - - 277 - - 296 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 13 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -18 - - -7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5279 - - -1022 - - 1315 - - 284 - - -8191 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11742 - - 15156 - - 16766 - - 16159 - - 13346 sfcLCL ODpotential -8408 - - -2744 - - 153 - - -1016 - - -11774 ODpotential blCL 14870 - - 16877 - - 17927 - - 17459 - - 16929 blCL maxRH 43 - - 48 - - 64 - - 64 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 130 - - 80 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.4 - - 77.9 - - 80.6 - - 79.3 - - 68.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.8 - - 28.6 - - 23.9 - - 25.7 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.5 - - 74.4 - - 77.4 - - 77.8 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.7 - - 28.5 - - 23.8 - - 25.6 - - 28.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 228 - - 583 - - 547 - - 143 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1613 - - 9284 - - 13231 - - 11594 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98290 18 096 13 101 12 107 13 076 18 067 98290 90811 19 119 15 107 14 125 13 084 17 065 90811 85070 16 116 11 097 18 103 15 105 13 084 85070 80336 17 114 18 114 18 095 19 101 17 109 80336 76287 24 099 22 112 22 108 19 115 18 114 76287 72714 14 086 18 126 19 098 18 124 17 122 72714 69488 8 135 9 125 8 128 15 110 18 104 69488 66536 8 112 11 184 11 193 3 170 2 095 66536 63831 3 205 15 164 16 184 12 203 13 220 63831 61229 15 252 10 256 14 249 14 272 12 244 61229 58498 24 240 25 245 24 243 24 258 24 267 58498 55642 24 249 25 248 26 257 32 260 36 268 55642 52891 37 266 32 261 39 263 40 261 45 263 52891 50394 47 260 44 262 43 266 41 271 41 273 50394 48143 49 256 49 261 47 271 49 275 46 282 48143 46098 54 265 51 263 52 272 51 280 55 281 46098 44224 59 265 51 262 52 274 59 282 60 278 44224 42496 58 259 54 262 52 269 57 278 58 279 42496 40892 56 256 57 258 49 263 48 285 54 279 40892 39397 57 259 55 253 40 272 50 297 51 280 39397 38002 63 257 50 249 35 274 49 302 45 286 38002 36672 59 252 43 249 30 272 40 307 41 298 36672 35342 55 251 34 250 21 282 33 316 42 303 35342 33987 55 251 28 252 12 324 29 323 43 299 33987 32610 55 249 16 258 15 015 29 322 39 292 32610 31195 47 247 5 282 23 019 29 319 32 293 31195 29732 37 248 6 323 21 010 31 317 25 307 29732 28223 30 251 11 298 18 360 32 318 24 314 28223 26668 23 251 13 264 12 350 29 320 23 316 26668 25071 18 257 15 243 12 320 24 322 21 318 25071 23433 19 273 13 261 12 310 20 322 19 319 23433 21748 25 277 12 288 10 286 17 317 21 320 21748 20011 30 265 10 286 10 257 16 311 21 316 20011 18254 32 247 22 267 14*273 16 300 18 313 18254 16569 30 243 28 251 15*274 14*295 15 302 16569 15035 24 257 26*246 15 275 14*295 13 282 15035 13661 20 286 21*255 16 276 14 294 12 273 13661 12426 24 306 18 270 16 276 14 295 12 274 12426 11311 24 315 15 282 17 277 14 295 12 279 11311 10304 22 321 14 287 17 278 13 296 12 286 10304 9396 20 322 14 289 18 278 13 297 12 293 9396 8582 17 319 14 289 18 278 13 298 13 300 8582 7850 9 298 14 288 18 278 13 298 13 305 7850 7185 7 238 14 288 18 278 12 299 13 310 7185 6587 9*220 14 286 18 278 12 298 13 314 6587 6082 9*218 13 286 17 278 12 299 12 316 6082 5689 8 221 13 285 17 278 11 299 11 319 5689 5416 8 222 13 285 17 278 11 299 10 320 5416 5250 8 222 12 285 16 279 11 299 7*318 5250 5155 7 222 11 285 14 279 9 299 5*315 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography