DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.4 - - 61.2 - - 67.2 - - 67.1 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 88 - - 311 - - 443 - - 250 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 424 - - 934 - - 732 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 4031 - - 3743 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 3961 - - 4471 - - 4269 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1233 - - 445 - - 572 - - 600 - - 1092 Hgt.Variab. W* 46 - - 211 - - 309 - - 235 - - 20 W* B/S 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 206 - - 219 - - 207 - - 211 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 10 - - 29 - - 34 - - 34 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -526 - - 20 - - -802 - - -1127 - - -835 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3149 - - 3942 - - 5273 - - 5397 - - 3458 sfcLCL ODpotential -9145 - - -7178 - - -6907 - - -7390 - - -9172 ODpotential blCL 11768 - - 11139 - - 11378 - - 11659 - - 11795 blCL maxRH 88 - - 91 - - 77 - - 73 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.4 - - 61.2 - - 67.2 - - 67.1 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.6 - - 52.8 - - 52.9 - - 52.3 - - 51.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.4 - - 59.9 - - 65.4 - - 66.1 - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.3 - - 52.3 - - 52.3 - - 51.8 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 88 - - 311 - - 443 - - 250 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 424 - - 934 - - 732 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 54 - - 63 - - 9 - - 0 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98390 18 124 19 122 18 111 16 128 14 124 98390 90946 25 105 20 108 22 099 19 121 16 116 90946 85221 24 108 18 114 20 104 20 111 17 116 85221 80473 20 108 18 129 15 127 15 093 16 105 80473 76378 14 108 13 141 13 139 8 099 11 111 76378 72758 10 129 15 140 13 160 3 212 5 082 72758 69486 6 125 6 120 9 167 4 198 2 021 69486 66493 3 288 3 343 6 228 7 227 7 264 66493 63734 11 271 9 275 12 263 13 253 14 268 63734 61072 16 260 18 266 17 279 18 270 20 275 61072 58293 16 260 22 271 22 283 20 275 23 269 58293 55393 16 268 22 271 24 274 20 274 22 265 55393 52605 14 274 19 262 23 265 21 271 21 262 52605 50087 15 262 19 247 24 256 23 264 23 258 50087 47836 16 249 16 239 23 247 24 256 27 251 47836 45809 16 241 13 226 22 237 24 245 29 240 45809 43968 13 215 12 225 22 227 25 235 24 240 43968 42280 8 186 12 198 20 212 25 225 24 250 42280 40718 7 226 10 180 21 196 23 224 27 241 40718 39264 15 236 10 194 21 195 21 230 21 229 39264 37900 16 233 13 213 21 200 23 231 17 232 37900 36586 14 234 13 222 20 202 23 225 20 238 36586 35257 14 234 14 223 19 207 23 220 22 240 35257 33883 13 223 14 224 18 211 22 217 21 240 33883 32468 9 243 12 233 15 218 18 214 19 235 32468 30999 8 270 9 236 11 228 15 214 18 230 30999 29463 8 274 7 237 9 225 11 212 17 227 29463 27860 8 277 6 238 9 232 12 226 16 224 27860 26189 8 284 7 258 10 249 13 241 16 217 26189 24453 10 287 11 267 12 256 12 243 13 216 24453 22654 12 286 14 273 14 264 13 244 8 237 22654 20785 12 292 15 278 15 273 13 254 6 247 20785 18842 10 305 13 282 13 277 11 263 8 243 18842 16863 9 321 11 286 10 279 9 267 7 247 16863 14956 9 329 10 287 10 282 9 276 8 255 14956 13219 11 324 10 285 11 282 11 287 8 268 13219 11671 15 319 11 286 11 282 12 292 8 277 11671 10291 18 318 12 297 11 290 13 297 10 285 10291 9057 19 319 13 304 11 296 14 299 12 291 9057 7955 18 319 12 308 11 301 14 302 13 294 7955 6973 17 321 11 311 10 304 13 305 13 298 6973 6104 15 321 9 313 7 303 11 306 11 299 6104 5335 12 320 7 313 4 290 7 306 9 300 5335 4647 9 319 4 310 2*237 2*278 7 297 4647 4040 6 317 2*265 4*204 3*211 3 280 4040 3534 2 282 4*223 6 206 6 210 1 213 3534 3145 1 214 5 219 7 208 7 211 2 175 3145 2878 2 204 6 217 7 208 7 211 3 190 2878 2715 2*204 6 218 7 208 7 212 3*193 2715 2622 2*207 5 217 6 209 6 212 2*197 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography