DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.0 - - 56.8 - - 60.3 - - 59.3 - - 54.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 36 - - 172 - - 269 - - 172 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 196 - - 1087 - - 1460 - - 1072 - - 494 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 850 - - 1293 - - 828 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 739 - - 1631 - - 2005 - - 1616 - - 1038 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1195 - - 622 - - 301 - - 501 - - 564 Hgt.Variab. W* 78 - - 235 - - 300 - - 233 - - 63 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 253 - - 267 - - 276 - - 276 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 131 - - 334 - - 208 - - 48 - - -20 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 608 - - 1297 - - 1797 - - 1568 - - 1058 sfcLCL ODpotential -29 - - 323 - - -9711 - - -9954 - - -10876 ODpotential blCL 768 - - 1308 - - 11716 - - 11570 - - 11914 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 95 - - 96 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.0 - - 56.8 - - 60.3 - - 59.3 - - 54.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.1 - - 53.1 - - 54.2 - - 54.2 - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.6 - - 55.7 - - 58.6 - - 58.2 - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.9 - - 52.4 - - 53.4 - - 53.6 - - 52.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 36 - - 172 - - 269 - - 172 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 196 - - 1087 - - 1460 - - 1072 - - 494 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 95 - - 80 - - 84 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98436 24 110 20 105 22 105 18 106 17 111 98436 90994 22 117 20 105 24 102 19 100 24 115 90994 85263 16 117 16 115 19 109 16 123 22 107 85263 80492 10 113 14 140 13 164 10 114 14 100 80492 76374 9 131 10 150 12 187 4 099 6 112 76374 72735 6 152 5 164 5 187 4 146 3 090 72735 69445 6 184 4 223 2 299 5 176 4 264 69445 66439 3 271 6 247 4 263 4 232 10 249 66439 63671 10 296 6 288 9 254 10 278 10 261 63671 60992 13 288 12 305 12 267 15 276 13 287 60992 58186 14 283 17 292 13 284 17 266 19 279 58186 55264 17 271 19 269 15 279 14 270 21 258 55264 52479 16 250 17 258 17 263 15 287 17 250 52479 49976 10 244 15 240 19 239 17 276 11 267 49976 47736 9 251 7 216 19 217 19 248 13 277 47736 45711 11 235 7 213 14 206 18 229 15 262 45711 43871 8 209 10 220 15 202 15 220 12 251 43871 42188 7 220 10 214 15 197 13 205 8 238 42188 40635 13 235 7 221 10 194 11 187 4 189 40635 39186 17 236 9 242 9 200 12 183 7 142 39186 37821 18 235 11 249 9 213 12 185 8 154 37821 36500 16 240 11 249 9 224 11 187 9 169 36500 35155 14 249 10 249 9 227 10 193 9 180 35155 33754 11 256 9 253 8 224 9 196 10 187 33754 32301 8 261 6 251 6 222 9 193 10 189 32301 30781 5 257 6 247 7 229 9 201 7 203 30781 29181 6 286 7 240 11 235 9 229 4 264 29181 27500 7 289 10 239 14 243 10 258 5 306 27500 25736 8 293 10 250 12 262 10 278 5 305 25736 23890 9 317 8 255 11 262 11 283 5 326 23890 21964 9 315 7 252 11 264 9 295 5 351 21964 19952 10 315 6 270 8 275 6 318 5 018 19952 17853 10 315 5 286 4 297 4 345 5 032 17853 15707 8 294 6 288 3 339 3 015 4 047 15707 13634 6 290 4 280 3 346 1 003 2 065 13634 11744 7 304 4 264 1 323 0 254 1 057 11744 10063 9 307 4 279 1 335 1 131 1 351 10063 8569 10 311 6 292 2 329 3 121 2 290 8569 7243 10 313 7 295 3 302 3 146 3 270 7243 6067 9 310 7 282 4 242 4 177 3 262 6067 5030 8 304 8 262 6 227 5 187 1 246 5030 4120 6 288 8 238 10 212 7 175 1 021 4120 3320 7 239 12 222 11 199 5 183 3 014 3320 2608 11 237 12 229 9*221 5 250 5 342 2608 1986 10 250 9*248 10*271 10*277 7 294 1986 1474 9 256 8*263 11 276 11*276 10 273 1474 1084 7 253 7 266 10 277 11 276 9*270 1084 816 6*254 7 268 10 277 11 276 8*269 816 654 5*252 6 269 9 278 10 276 7 268 654 561 4 254 5 270 8 279 8 276 5 268 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography