DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.1 - - 68.2 - - 67.8 - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 90 - - 67 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2385 - - 1872 - - 1560 - - 1051 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1347 - - 523 - - 83 - - 83 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2465 - - 1952 - - 1640 - - 1131 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 698 - - 1270 - - 1156 - - 1196 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 310 - - 230 - - 197 - - 49 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 5 - - 9 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 035 - - 063 - - 075 - - 082 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 397 - - 503 - - 244 - - 303 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2068 - - 1449 - - 1396 - - 828 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2577 - - 380 - - -352 - - -133 ODpotential blCL - - - 5042 - - 1572 - - 1992 - - 1264 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 30 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.1 - - 68.2 - - 67.8 - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.1 - - 62.0 - - 61.9 - - 60.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.1 - - 67.7 - - 67.4 - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.0 - - 61.3 - - 61.3 - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 90 - - 67 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2385 - - 1872 - - 1560 - - 1051 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 75 - - 101 - - 101 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98386 12 095 7 066 20 044 9 053 98386 91006 14 106 17 086 12 052 19 057 91006 85342 17 098 23 087 14 101 21 050 85342 80642 19 101 20 093 19 113 14 064 80642 76593 20 101 14 101 16 098 11 081 76593 73017 13 084 12 111 10 102 7 069 73017 69775 9 100 11 121 6 105 3 022 69775 66786 5 109 10 131 4 167 4 249 66786 64017 1 100 7 151 6 205 8 196 64017 61348 5 333 9 186 9 221 13 208 61348 58563 15 282 10 229 14 241 13 214 58563 55650 27 276 18 258 18 256 15 267 55650 52848 35 273 24 273 27 263 22 281 52848 50327 39 267 50 270 40 273 46 273 50327 48067 45 269 55 253 51 256 48 266 48067 46018 42 257 45 260 33 259 39 261 46018 44143 32 308 47 287 55 272 53 275 44143 42423 81 280 87 269 80 261 67 264 42423 40849 87 275 81 262 84 249 65 258 40849 39385 78 277 72 262 74 251 64 266 39385 38004 71 272 63 260 67 252 74 271 38004 36664 67 265 59 261 60 254 85 271 36664 35296 64 265 57 258 56 255 88 271 35296 33868 60 265 56 254 56 255 83 272 33868 32382 55 267 52 254 57 255 75 273 32382 30822 38 263 47 256 56 253 70 274 30822 29178 32 261 47 259 55 251 61 271 29178 27448 40 251 49 258 56 252 52 274 27448 25631 39 252 48 249 49 261 46 273 25631 23731 32 257 40 227 37 268 42 268 23731 21751 26 260 28 223 21 253 36 278 21751 19686 17 272 19 224 25 234 28 278 19686 17533 19 269 15 235 27 226 26 270 17533 15347 23 271 15 264 22 249 27 273 15347 13248 21 271 16 285 21 253 28 272 13248 11343 15 292 17 293 13 264 25 278 11343 9653 17 315 19 298 11 296 18 268 9653 8153 17 328 19 297 12 297 11 264 8153 6823 18 337 16 307 11 298 7 309 6823 5644 19 332 16 328 10 300 8 329 5644 4601 19 328 15 322 11 288 5 312 4601 3686 18 340 12 318 9 289 3 299 3686 2885 13*004 4 347 6 303 3 049 2885 2174 11*029 3*009 3*034 9 073 2174 1550 11 035 5*058 8*074 12*084 1550 1031 10 036 5 063 9 075 12*084 1031 633 10 037 5 063 9 075 12 083 633 360 10 038 5 064 9 075 11 082 360 194 9 038 5 065 8 074 9 082 194 99 7 038 5 065 7 074 6 080 99 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography