DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.7 - - 69.6 - - 74.5 - - 73.0 - - 62.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 168 - - 508 - - 512 - - 178 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 989 - - 7829 - - 11026 - - 10322 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6963 - - 12664 - - 15302 - - 14064 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 7674 - - 14514 - - 17711 - - 17007 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 853 - - 2603 - - 1757 - - 2699 - - 399 Hgt.Variab. W* 235 - - 676 - - 761 - - 524 - - 8 W* B/S 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 15 - - 16 - - 19 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 104 - - 284 - - 291 - - 303 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 8 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -6 - - 5 - - -22 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2283 - - -236 - - 551 - - -276 - - -9047 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9958 - - 14751 - - 17161 - - 17284 - - 15847 sfcLCL ODpotential -6098 - - -3174 - - -2063 - - -2624 - - -13068 ODpotential blCL 13772 - - 17688 - - 19774 - - 19631 - - 19868 blCL maxRH 53 - - 43 - - 53 - - 50 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.7 - - 69.6 - - 74.5 - - 73.0 - - 62.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.5 - - 28.0 - - 22.1 - - 20.3 - - 17.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.6 - - 66.8 - - 71.7 - - 71.9 - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.2 - - 27.4 - - 21.4 - - 19.7 - - 17.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 168 - - 508 - - 512 - - 178 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 989 - - 7829 - - 11026 - - 10322 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98456 21 108 14 117 15 110 17 112 9 095 98456 91020 22 089 14 111 16 095 15 106 15 098 91020 85275 16 106 18 116 14 105 14 100 17 095 85275 80525 15 126 18 112 13 117 11 084 17 099 80525 76440 13 131 15 134 10 144 7 074 14 095 76440 72823 4 151 12 150 11 166 6 191 8 058 72823 69539 1 205 8 175 10 179 10 201 1 234 69539 66518 5 251 9 220 13 217 13 228 12 250 66518 63725 9 273 15 251 13 240 20 240 22 250 63725 61028 16 247 23 246 19 261 18 251 27 250 61028 58214 19 276 17 254 25 262 20 273 26 245 58214 55294 28 275 26 275 26 265 27 283 23 273 55294 52515 20 291 30 271 25 275 34 285 34 291 52515 50025 24 312 24 288 26 277 28 287 34 288 50025 47799 22 331 22 309 20 282 22 292 28 287 47799 45791 20 356 22 353 13 340 14 298 18 278 45791 43968 28 013 26 012 21 357 14 307 13 282 43968 42298 34 025 31 027 22 019 10 315 16 290 42298 40750 37 029 34 031 22 030 10 330 15 286 40750 39298 35 026 33 027 21 018 13 333 11 291 39298 37939 34 025 29 024 19 007 12 338 12 302 37939 36641 34 025 27 023 18 009 13 336 13 301 36641 35341 31 019 26 022 18 010 17 333 15 304 35341 34014 26 016 24 021 18 001 17 330 20 306 34014 32666 25 004 23 014 20 348 16 324 22 304 32666 31287 26 351 25 355 20 341 17 318 21 299 31287 29870 25 348 25 341 23 339 21 315 23 296 29870 28413 21 340 24 335 23 333 23 315 25 300 28413 26922 19 332 24 333 23 327 24 316 25 303 26922 25402 17 325 23 331 23 319 24 316 23 303 25402 23856 17 322 20 327 23 313 24 313 22 297 23856 22284 16 323 19 319 21 310 23 312 22 290 22284 20678 14 322 18 309 20 311 21 316 21 295 20678 19064 13 321 17 305 18*309 19 326 19 314 19064 17519 14 323 16 304 16*298 18*322 20 325 17519 16111 16 323 16 299 16 295 18*315 20 322 16111 14848 16 320 17*293 16 294 18 313 19 312 14848 13708 16 315 17*291 16 293 19 308 19 302 13708 12675 15 312 17 291 16 291 19 305 19 294 12675 11735 14 310 16 289 17 290 20 302 20 288 11735 10883 14 310 15 285 17 289 20 301 20 284 10883 10113 12 309 15 283 17 289 20 299 20 280 10113 9416 7 307 14 280 17 288 20 298 20 278 9416 8777 3 305 13 278 17 288 20 298 20 275 8777 8199 2 103 13 277 17 287 19 297 20 273 8199 7707 6*105 13 276 16 287 19 297 19 270 7707 7324 6*104 12 275 16 287 19 296 17 267 7324 7057 6 104 12 274 16 287 18 296 14 263 7057 6894 6 105 11 274 15 287 17 296 10*258 6894 6800 5 104 10 274 13 286 14 295 6*253 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography