DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 Driggs_ID 6229ft pt41635@43.809,-111.283,6348ft SPONSORED BY: Jack Burnham BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.5 - - 56.1 - - 57.3 - - 55.3 - - 43.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 124 - - 174 - - 14 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 5422 - - 7670 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth Hcrit 6554 - - 9737 - - 11618 - - 6554 - - 6553 Hcrit BL Top 6571 - - 11651 - - 13899 - - 6571 - - 6570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2962 - - 2626 - - 2702 - - 9916 - - 504 Hgt.Variab. W* 77 - - 408 - - 497 - - 98 - - 47 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 33 - - 36 - - 17 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 232 - - 254 - - 257 - - 263 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 18 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -25 - - -26 - - -2 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1711 - - 673 - - 2114 - - -5924 - - -3972 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8283 - - 10979 - - 11785 - - 12496 - - 10542 sfcLCL ODpotential -4447 - - -4131 - - -974 - - -7530 - - -7348 ODpotential blCL 11018 - - 15782 - - 14873 - - 14101 - - 13918 blCL maxRH 92 - - 44 - - 58 - - 52 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 260 - - 0 - - 80 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.5 - - 56.1 - - 57.3 - - 55.3 - - 43.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.6 - - 30.5 - - 28.2 - - 23.3 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.3 - - 55.1 - - 56.1 - - 55.3 - - 46.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.3 - - 29.2 - - 27.0 - - 22.0 - - 19.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 124 - - 174 - - 14 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 342 - - 5422 - - 7670 - - 342 - - 341 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 70 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98643 29 098 22 099 24 094 22 109 27 093 98643 91220 27 100 19 107 18 103 18 094 17 090 91220 85466 14 119 16 126 13 128 15 086 16 124 85466 80668 13 147 11 175 4 165 6 071 11 133 80668 76507 8 137 13 177 10 179 1 317 8 097 76507 72801 6 183 7 179 11 183 8 228 1 167 72801 69448 3 222 7 210 8 188 8 195 6 237 69448 66381 12 234 9 231 4 265 5 241 9 199 66381 63541 12 229 15 217 17 217 18 275 11 231 63541 60790 21 255 20 240 23 233 22 243 21 259 60790 57901 17 250 26 247 34 265 26 249 26 246 57901 54905 33 290 30 273 47 271 37 267 29 243 54905 52082 37 290 36 274 45 264 43 265 24 259 52082 49558 38 288 37 265 43 258 46 264 39 277 49558 47291 39 283 36 263 51 266 57 269 53 272 47291 45227 42 285 44 275 63 272 66 271 62 273 45227 43337 50 285 60 277 73 271 76 270 71 272 43337 41597 59 282 75 274 82 269 83 267 75 271 41597 39986 66 278 84 271 90 267 85 265 75 277 39986 38491 71 275 89 269 96 265 86 271 83 281 38491 37107 75 275 93 268 100 266 96 275 90 282 37107 35799 77 275 95 268 102 267 104 273 93 281 35799 34502 79 275 97 269 103 268 103 271 93 282 34502 33187 80 274 98 269 103 267 99 272 92 284 33187 31857 79 272 95 268 101 267 97 273 89 285 31857 30496 77 270 89 267 96 268 95 274 86 285 30496 29095 73 267 82 268 89 270 90 276 82 283 29095 27661 71 264 76 270 81 272 85 278 79 282 27661 26196 68 263 72 271 75 275 81 280 77 283 26196 24704 65 264 71 271 73 277 78 281 73 284 24704 23190 61 265 70 269 71 278 75 282 69 282 23190 21646 58 266 68 268 68 279 72 284 65 280 21646 20065 56 267 65 267 63 280 67 286 62 280 20065 18473 54 267 62 268 58 281 60 287 56 282 18473 16954 51 266 57 271 49 281 47 284 45 281 16954 15577 44 261 52 274 41 276 38 275 35 274 15577 14347 41 254 43 274 38*268 38 272 30 269 14347 13242 39 250 36 270 37*265 38 270 28 276 13242 12240 37 252 34*263 37 262 38 269 28 284 12240 11331 36 255 34*258 37 260 38 268 28 291 11331 10507 35 258 34 257 37 258 39 267 28 297 10507 9764 34 261 34 255 37 256 38 266 29 302 9764 9090 33 260 34 254 37 255 38 265 29 306 9090 8474 32 258 34 253 36 254 38 265 29 308 8474 7917 30 250 33 253 36 253 37 264 29 310 7917 7444 26 242 32 252 35 253 36 264 27 310 7444 7075 22 237 31 252 34 253 34 264 24 308 7075 6818 18 234 29 252 31 252 31 263 19 306 6818 6661 16*233 25 251 28 252 27*263 14*305 6661 6570 10*232 16 251 18 251 17*263 7*300 6570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography