DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 Chipman_AB 2195ft pt59096@53.418,-112.339,2193ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Edmonton Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.9 - - 42.2 - - 43.0 - - 46.1 - - 40.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 83 - - 94 - - 16 - - 31 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1992 - - 2173 - - 2367 - - 3463 - - 55 BL Depth Hcrit 2724 - - 3003 - - 2233 - - 2233 - - 2233 Hcrit BL Top 4187 - - 4368 - - 4562 - - 5658 - - 2250 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 956 - - 1359 - - 2183 - - 2319 - - 3356 Hgt.Variab. W* 233 - - 251 - - 158 - - 215 - - 23 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 22 - - 24 - - 23 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 324 - - 322 - - 322 - - 327 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 8 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1433 - - 1570 - - 1470 - - 1953 - - -547 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2754 - - 2798 - - 3092 - - 3705 - - 2797 sfcLCL ODpotential 602 - - 778 - - 438 - - 677 - - -1299 ODpotential blCL 3585 - - 3590 - - 4124 - - 4981 - - 3549 blCL maxRH 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.9 - - 42.2 - - 43.0 - - 46.1 - - 40.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.4 - - 37.5 - - 37.1 - - 37.5 - - 36.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.4 - - 41.8 - - 43.1 - - 45.9 - - 41.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.3 - - 36.5 - - 36.1 - - 36.3 - - 35.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 83 - - 94 - - 16 - - 31 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1992 - - 2173 - - 2367 - - 3463 - - 55 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 100 - - 101 - - 102 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99016 12 090 13 115 8 145 11 013 9 104 99016 91492 3 192 5 108 10 135 3 202 7 092 91492 85611 14 215 11 119 8 132 10 150 3 119 85611 80735 11 166 4 146 5 091 6 083 8 102 80735 76528 4 119 6 134 2 081 5 015 3 077 76528 72798 7 232 2 147 5 168 2 338 4 242 72798 69431 5 201 5 215 7 234 2 317 0 173 69431 66325 2 332 7 208 11 250 10 267 4 305 66325 63427 9 281 3 197 6 220 13 231 13 254 63427 60616 18 282 15 264 12 276 10 272 12 244 60616 57678 21 271 21 251 21 262 18 275 14 260 57678 54621 26 266 19 251 23 255 26 266 21 264 54621 51690 33 273 18 258 24 255 29 262 24 259 51690 49041 34 274 19 262 24 258 27 259 22 258 49041 46667 34 267 22 257 23 257 26 252 22 254 46667 44524 32 257 24 260 21 258 22 250 20 251 44524 42574 27 251 27 255 20 259 18 258 17 248 42574 40781 22 249 23 243 22 256 18 261 14 241 40781 39122 20 255 16 247 19 242 19 241 15 240 39122 37579 24 255 17 260 15 245 14 221 19 229 37579 36143 25 244 19 244 15 251 10 228 17 212 36143 34774 22 225 17 224 20 227 15 234 16 197 34774 33411 17 215 16 207 19 197 20 190 18 177 33411 32034 13 216 14 193 17 174 21 176 20 158 32034 30643 13 213 11 187 18 147 22 165 20 157 30643 29216 13 216 13 177 19 132 24 149 21 155 29216 27738 12 219 27 157 22 136 23 139 18 149 27738 26208 14 210 34 148 23 127 19 116 14 145 26208 24623 18 193 27 135 22 108 19 101 14 131 24623 22979 18 174 22 125 19 103 13 125 14 126 22979 21274 12 167 16 126 16 112 9 143 6 115 21274 19503 7 230 11 139 12 107 9 120 7 037 19503 17657 12 259 5 130 7 101 9 089 8 328 17657 15775 7 244 8 060 10 045 6 055 11 298 15775 13956 4 246 9 019 9 009 7 333 11 329 13956 12296 9 239 6 313 8 326 10 338 13 336 12296 10817 6 260 5 312 13 358 8 324 13 322 10817 9498 15 301 18 345 11 357 13 315 16 322 9498 8329 23 309 20 004 12 328 26 312 21 336 8329 7294 22 324 13 013 22 323 29 316 24 337 7294 6375 20 337 13 342 27 321 29*317 27 329 6375 5559 20 338 19 329 27 321 27*323 29 327 5559 4837 20*331 23*324 27*321 26 325 29 328 4837 4187 20*326 24*323 27*321 25 327 29 330 4187 3611 20 324 23 322 26 322 24 328 28 330 3611 3127 20 324 23 322 25 322 23 329 27 330 3127 2754 19 322 22 321 23 323 22 329 24 330 2754 2497 18 322 21 321 21 323 20 330 21 329 2497 2340 17 321 19 321 19 323 18 330 18*330 2340 2250 13 321 15 321 14 323 14 330 13*329 2250 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography