DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 CherryValley_AR 280ft pt26070@35.307,-90.816,234ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: The Mid-South Soaring Foundation RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 75.4 - - 77.4 - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 77 - - 54 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 660 - - 3085 - - 3892 - - 1534 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 262 - - 1690 - - 2015 - - 263 Hcrit BL Top - - - 940 - - 3365 - - 4172 - - 1814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1772 - - 1943 - - 1864 - - 2800 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 74 - - 276 - - 272 - - 79 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 134 - - 049 - - 005 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 464 - - 842 - - 1151 - - 745 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 476 - - 2523 - - 3022 - - 1069 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 62 - - -561 - - 276 - - 83 ODpotential blCL - - - 878 - - 3926 - - 3896 - - 1731 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 320 - - 830 - - 1010 - - 1510 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 75.4 - - 77.4 - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.8 - - 64.9 - - 64.7 - - 68.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 75.0 - - 77.1 - - 73.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.5 - - 63.6 - - 63.3 - - 68.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 77 - - 54 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 660 - - 3085 - - 3892 - - 1534 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 99 - - 90 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 12 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98428 8 076 9 110 9 089 6 061 98428 90969 12 106 14 088 11 084 11 094 90969 85232 19 093 14 086 13 099 13 070 85232 80482 20 081 17 098 21 091 18 081 80482 76414 17 099 22 119 12 081 18 077 76414 72834 15 105 17 128 11 147 6 064 72834 69610 9 112 11 124 12 145 8 163 69610 66657 2 195 6 185 9 160 6 171 66657 63909 12 236 12 214 11 204 6 261 63909 61240 17 223 11 217 16 232 18 261 61240 58449 13 228 19 256 20 237 21 235 58449 55534 24 247 28 250 24 257 26 252 55534 52729 36 257 44 251 43 258 39 246 52729 50193 57 251 55 244 47 248 46 248 50193 47915 62 239 51 244 55 244 52 248 47915 45850 59 235 52 246 59 243 59 247 45850 43970 59 241 57 245 60 243 63 251 43970 42247 61 243 63 241 63 242 68 252 42247 40662 65 245 67 239 68 243 82 245 40662 39193 72 246 72 241 74 245 97 241 39193 37813 73 244 76 242 81 244 104 239 37813 36473 70 243 75 241 84 242 104 236 36473 35107 69 242 74 241 82 240 104 235 35107 33683 69 243 75 243 77 239 101 236 33683 32206 67 246 76 244 74 241 95 237 32206 30660 61 249 74 244 71 241 87 238 30660 29035 55 249 64 242 71 241 82 241 29035 27332 51 249 59 242 70 241 67 244 27332 25548 46 249 56 247 64 244 59 246 25548 23686 39 251 46 251 54 247 55 250 23686 21752 26 245 36 249 48 247 47 255 21752 19736 30 228 28 239 37 242 44 255 19736 17629 34 222 31 242 30 234 40 254 17629 15477 26 227 37 246 29 242 27 253 15477 13403 17 237 29 267 25 250 15 265 13403 11517 18 238 17 257 15 265 12 256 11517 9841 17 231 6 248 7 255 12 254 9841 8354 11 241 3 318 5 240 10 253 8354 7033 7 285 6 041 2 219 8 246 7033 5862 5 310 8 048 3 063 4 229 5862 4827 4 321 7 053 4*036 2 220 4827 3917 4 321 7*053 5*019 0 300 3917 3113 3 324 7*052 5 011 2 037 3113 2395 1 148 6 051 6 006 5*053 2395 1760 4 144 6 049 6 003 5*057 1760 1231 5*140 6 048 6 360 5 061 1231 825 5*138 6 047 6 358 5 063 825 545 4 133 6 045 5 357 5 065 545 376 4 133 5 046 5 357 5 065 376 279 3 132 5 045 5 357 4 066 279 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography