DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 Boerne_TX 1385ft pt16702@29.702,-98.774,1444ft SPONSORED BY: San Antonio Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.6 - - 76.4 - - 82.9 - - 80.5 - - 73.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 120 - - 300 - - 255 - - 37 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1218 - - 1993 - - 2709 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth Hcrit 1562 - - 2563 - - 3044 - - 1563 - - 1562 Hcrit BL Top 2603 - - 3378 - - 4094 - - 1579 - - 1579 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 578 - - 701 - - 1513 - - 2643 - - 1269 Hgt.Variab. W* 221 - - 351 - - 370 - - 83 - - 24 W* B/S 5 - - 13 - - 13 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 009 - - 350 - - 353 - - 091 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 113 - - -181 - - -819 - - -3021 - - -764 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2490 - - 3559 - - 4913 - - 4600 - - 2344 sfcLCL ODpotential -5276 - - -4029 - - -3316 - - -5750 - - -4934 ODpotential blCL 7879 - - 7407 - - 7410 - - 7329 - - 6513 blCL maxRH 93 - - 91 - - 76 - - 66 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 570 - - 1650 - - 2480 - - 2300 - - 2360 CAPE Temp@2m 68.6 - - 76.4 - - 82.9 - - 80.5 - - 73.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.6 - - 65.7 - - 66.2 - - 65.3 - - 67.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.4 - - 74.3 - - 80.9 - - 80.0 - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 61.9 - - 64.8 - - 65.3 - - 64.7 - - 67.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 120 - - 300 - - 255 - - 37 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1218 - - 1993 - - 2709 - - 194 - - 194 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 73 - - 63 - - 4 - - 0 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98317 19 078 22 095 17 100 14 081 23 077 98317 90832 21 107 16 088 18 129 14 102 21 079 90832 85104 19 117 16 100 18 099 16 094 20 089 85104 80370 18 104 22 114 16 093 18 070 25 088 80370 76293 16 105 23 108 23 097 17 100 19 093 76293 72726 16 091 17 110 20 088 22 116 17 116 72726 69537 10 095 13 133 12 100 15 100 18 107 69537 66625 11 163 9 171 8 145 9 133 8 067 66625 63928 16 188 9 207 10 204 7 201 5 297 63928 61302 4 148 20 222 26 205 21 216 14 262 61302 58569 21 301 20 231 26 225 23 233 20 266 58569 55713 48 258 34 261 36 259 31 266 33 264 55713 52951 62 246 53 251 52 252 53 263 55 263 52951 50458 68 250 60 242 65 247 74 257 69 260 50458 48213 77 252 65 242 74 244 77 251 68 255 48213 46160 79 250 71 243 68 246 69 252 63 258 46160 44268 75 251 72 244 68 255 71 255 71 262 44268 42519 82 253 75 252 79 258 79 252 84 262 42519 40898 94 249 90 252 88 251 82 248 90 257 40898 39386 94 243 97 244 88 241 83 245 89 253 39386 37966 87 239 95 236 91 238 83 244 88 252 37966 36600 89 241 96 237 93 240 85 246 88 252 36600 35221 97 244 96 240 88 243 90 246 90 251 35221 33799 100 246 92 241 83 242 90 246 93 249 33799 32337 94 245 88 243 81 242 82 241 90 245 32337 30824 88 243 83 244 81 243 66 237 84 241 30824 29251 85 240 75 243 79 242 61 241 76 242 29251 27619 81 238 71 240 72 237 58 243 65 249 27619 25921 75 238 67 242 66 236 58 242 48 259 25921 24153 67 242 60 243 58 236 55 238 39 258 24153 22313 60 248 56 240 51 236 47 239 34 255 22313 20402 57 252 52 234 48 236 38 248 24 260 20402 18408 50 240 50 233 45 238 35 254 20 269 18408 16369 36 243 41 234 39 241 33 254 23 275 16369 14397 26 256 24 238 31 242 29 258 21 275 14397 12596 21 264 20 246 20 238 18 253 19 269 12596 10987 13 275 13 253 14 230 10 258 17 263 10987 9549 11 315 7 266 10 209 7 255 15 268 9549 8266 3 234 8 299 8 253 6 245 12 276 8266 7121 14 208 6 250 10 276 6 241 10 271 7121 6105 13 213 11 219 10 275 6 229 9 246 6105 5205 12 185 12 237 8 278 7 217 10 229 5205 4408 8 185 10 261 6*298 6 215 11 220 4408 3693 2 175 6*293 5*331 4 212 11 202 3693 3059 8*009 5*344 5 346 3 116 8 162 3059 2531 9*009 5 348 5 354 5 094 12 130 2531 2125 8 009 5 351 5 002 5 091 13 126 2125 1846 8 009 5 355 5 004 5 091 12 125 1846 1676 7 010 4 356 5 008 5 092 9*124 1676 1579 6 010 4 356 5 008 5*091 6*123 1579 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography