DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/13 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.1 - - 59.0 - - - - - 52.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 436 - - 370 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7373 - - 8437 - - - - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11400 - - 12184 - - - - - 6026 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13241 - - 14305 - - - - - 6043 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1721 - - 3567 - - - - - 7309 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 625 - - 619 - - - - - 26 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 18 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 218 - - - - - 208 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 16 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 22 - - 22 - - - - - 22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1372 - - 1065 - - - - - -3678 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11870 - - 13240 - - - - - 9721 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 346 - - -179 - - - - - -5021 ODpotential blCL - - - 12895 - - 14484 - - - - - 11064 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 100 - - - - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 60 - - - - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.1 - - 59.0 - - - - - 52.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.9 - - 21.7 - - - - - 31.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 56.7 - - - - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.5 - - 21.3 - - - - - 31.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 436 - - 370 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7373 - - 8437 - - - - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 101 - - - - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97260 45 278 57 301 51 301 97260 89918 38 286 50 294 50 300 89918 84254 28 285 37 283 40 296 84254 79585 24 290 24 281 38 292 79585 75586 22 277 18 276 28 282 75586 72059 18 248 15 248 22 266 72059 68852 15 213 14 253 12 259 68852 65878 18 234 22 255 11 261 65878 63088 22 235 32 246 16 253 63088 60367 23 237 36 234 23 244 60367 57511 25 223 30 230 27 238 57511 54538 28 237 33 244 40 247 54538 51712 38 251 44 246 49 249 51712 49194 51 252 53 244 51 246 49194 46951 64 246 59 242 53 242 46951 44922 74 241 62 241 56 241 44922 43065 78 237 65 240 60 240 43065 41352 79 238 69 240 62 239 41352 39765 86 241 80 240 68 242 39765 38291 95 240 92 239 83 241 38291 36930 99 237 98 237 92 235 36930 35648 100 237 97 235 92 232 35648 34376 99 239 94 235 95 232 34376 33080 95 242 89 235 97 232 33080 31762 87 240 82 235 91 232 31762 30409 79 240 74 233 82 230 30409 29013 74 239 72 230 73 225 29013 27577 74 238 75 229 70 220 27577 26103 71 239 75 232 71 219 26103 24594 66 241 69 238 69 222 24594 23057 62 242 58 241 61 226 23057 21487 58 242 49 238 49 229 21487 19875 52 241 45 231 37 224 19875 18249 46 239 37 227 31 212 18249 16689 40 235 31 225 29 206 16689 15267 32 235 30*225 28 207 15267 13995 24*236 27*224 27 211 13995 12852 21*236 22 222 26 215 12852 11820 18 231 21 221 26 218 11820 10887 16 225 18 218 26 219 10887 10044 16 223 17 217 26 220 10044 9284 15 222 16 216 27 219 9284 8599 15 220 16 216 27 218 8599 7971 15 219 15 215 26 215 7971 7406 15 218 15 214 25 214 7406 6927 14 217 14 213 24 212 6927 6553 14 216 14 213 21 211 6553 6293 14 216 13 213 19 210 6293 6135 13 215 13 212 17*209 6135 6043 12 216 12 212 13*208 6043 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography