DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 Blanding_UT 5868ft pt30803@37.612,-109.420,5928ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.5 - - 71.6 - - 79.3 - - 78.2 - - 68.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 151 - - 486 - - 496 - - 125 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1045 - - 4600 - - 12821 - - 12887 - - 176 BL Depth Hcrit 6103 - - 9212 - - 15945 - - 14928 - - 6027 Hcrit BL Top 6913 - - 10468 - - 18689 - - 18755 - - 6044 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 606 - - 5357 - - 1714 - - 2379 - - 4982 Hgt.Variab. W* 229 - - 554 - - 786 - - 498 - - 10 W* B/S 12 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 10 - - 17 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 149 - - 242 - - 288 - - 278 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 13 - - 14 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - -18 - - 22 - - 9 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3880 - - -4057 - - 135 - - 323 - - -10708 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10793 - - 14526 - - 18555 - - 18433 - - 16753 sfcLCL ODpotential -7743 - - -6698 - - -1583 - - -820 - - -14046 ODpotential blCL 14656 - - 17166 - - 20272 - - 19575 - - 20090 blCL maxRH 45 - - 49 - - 55 - - 99 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.5 - - 71.6 - - 79.3 - - 78.2 - - 68.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.3 - - 28.5 - - 17.5 - - 17.3 - - 16.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.1 - - 68.5 - - 76.2 - - 77.0 - - 72.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.1 - - 28.0 - - 16.9 - - 16.8 - - 15.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 151 - - 486 - - 496 - - 125 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1045 - - 4600 - - 12821 - - 12887 - - 176 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 95 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98464 22 107 13 117 15 111 16 106 14 115 98464 91031 26 096 18 111 20 094 18 114 14 086 91031 85306 18 101 18 108 16 109 17 097 13 093 85306 80549 16 129 19 124 13 122 14 087 17 096 80549 76435 13 126 17 143 11 154 5 088 13 092 76435 72794 6 144 14 149 10 174 4 218 7 087 72794 69502 3 200 8 169 11 184 9 204 2 161 69502 66483 7 258 8 230 12 228 14 243 10 261 66483 63693 13 272 15 251 15 228 24 235 23 254 63693 60997 17 278 21 260 18 256 20 239 25 257 60997 58183 19 274 26 272 23 271 20 275 26 270 58183 55262 17 270 28 268 30 279 32 283 26 279 55262 52485 20 300 23 268 29 272 35 280 29 284 52485 50001 22 311 18 292 23 270 31 285 35 282 50001 47781 20 318 19 332 15 293 24 284 29 270 47781 45772 23 337 28 352 17 334 17 288 22 267 45772 43951 25 001 22 005 14 339 15 270 20 264 43951 42286 27 027 17 034 6 360 17 252 22 260 42286 40739 32 029 19 037 6 002 16 253 24 260 40739 39287 32 023 20 020 10 339 14 247 22 259 39287 37923 30 017 20 009 10 337 12 244 21 266 37923 36618 29 010 20 004 12 335 16 279 25 277 36618 35310 26 003 21 357 19 323 25 293 27 281 35310 33974 24 356 22 350 23 320 28 297 27 280 33974 32615 22 345 23 346 22 318 29 295 27 278 32615 31221 19 333 24 339 20 313 29 292 27 283 31221 29783 19 329 25 329 19 310 28 291 28 291 29783 28303 23 327 23 325 20 312 25 291 29 296 28303 26784 24 323 21 320 24 311 24 296 31 295 26784 25228 21 321 21 312 27 310 25 306 31 290 25228 23641 17 316 21 308 28 310 28 314 28 286 23641 22022 16 312 21 308 27 312 29 314 22 297 22022 20365 17 314 22 310 25*316 26*310 20 304 20365 18694 20 317 22 313 20*310 22*305 21 301 18694 17090 22 320 21 315 17 299 19 297 20 296 17090 15627 21 317 18 311 17 298 18 294 19 292 15627 14313 18 307 16 305 17 295 17 286 18 289 14313 13129 17 295 15 299 17 291 16 279 17 284 13129 12058 16 289 15 293 17 287 16 273 17 278 12058 11087 16 289 15*286 17 283 16 268 18 272 11087 10208 16 292 14*276 17 280 16 265 19 267 10208 9417 14 294 12 264 17 278 16 262 19 264 9417 8703 10 293 11 254 17 276 16 259 20 262 8703 8050 5 280 10 235 16 274 15 258 20 260 8050 7462 3 205 10 225 16 273 15 256 20 258 7462 6963 4*160 10 220 16 271 15 255 19 256 6963 6574 4*151 10 216 16 270 15 254 16 254 6574 6304 4 149 10 214 15 269 14 254 13 251 6304 6139 4 149 9 213 15 269 14 253 10*249 6139 6044 3 148 9 212 13 268 12 253 6*249 6044 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography