DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.2 - - 53.4 - - 60.1 - - 61.2 - - 55.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 170 - - 488 - - 562 - - 327 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3111 - - 3972 - - 6224 - - 5575 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 5173 - - 6229 - - 8080 - - 7344 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 6514 - - 7375 - - 9627 - - 8978 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1169 - - 1055 - - 988 - - 1394 - - 4980 Hgt.Variab. W* 334 - - 516 - - 629 - - 506 - - 47 W* B/S 4 - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 11 - - 13 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 330 - - 334 - - 342 - - 339 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 478 - - -2311 - - -3908 - - -4237 - - -6893 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6036 - - 9686 - - 13536 - - 13215 - - 10451 sfcLCL ODpotential -305 - - -9799 - - -10554 - - -10303 - - -13134 ODpotential blCL 6819 - - 17174 - - 20181 - - 19281 - - 16691 blCL maxRH 85 - - 48 - - 35 - - 44 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.2 - - 53.4 - - 60.1 - - 61.2 - - 55.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.2 - - 23.2 - - 12.7 - - 15.3 - - 22.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.0 - - 50.6 - - 57.1 - - 59.0 - - 55.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.1 - - 22.9 - - 12.0 - - 14.7 - - 22.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 170 - - 488 - - 562 - - 327 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3111 - - 3972 - - 6224 - - 5575 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 41 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98670 22 101 19 105 24 100 21 110 21 095 98670 91231 20 112 16 116 17 127 17 102 20 109 91231 85442 14 132 15 124 8 146 10 131 13 104 85442 80606 8 155 6 105 9 168 2 163 9 091 80606 76434 6 184 2 176 4 177 3 153 2 102 76434 72746 5 269 5 267 5 309 2 308 2 255 72746 69403 3 057 5 262 6 301 4 302 2 313 69403 66333 9 325 3 324 10 287 5 287 8 239 66333 63497 11 297 8 284 11 259 12 323 3 016 63497 60751 12 303 16 284 26 285 29 298 23 312 60751 57895 8 297 21 285 24 291 31 292 27 298 57895 54938 11 324 24 291 28 291 35 294 34 297 54938 52109 28 309 34 298 33 289 37 286 38 289 52109 49561 54 295 47 297 44 284 43 287 45 287 49561 47287 64 289 58 290 53 288 50 287 51 285 47287 45232 73 287 67 291 59 289 55 288 54 286 45232 43351 82 284 74 294 66 293 62 295 57 292 43351 41627 91 284 84 293 78 294 75 298 67 298 41627 40048 99 282 91 289 85 291 81 297 77 295 40048 38590 101 279 92 286 82 291 79 296 81 291 38590 37232 95 278 87 290 79 298 76 299 81 288 37232 35935 89 282 85 297 80 301 75 303 79 290 35935 34629 91 289 84 300 79 305 73 303 77 294 34629 33284 91 292 81 303 79 309 72 302 75 299 33284 31903 89 293 79 306 79 315 70 302 73 303 31903 30473 85 295 79 308 78 318 70 302 74 307 30473 28984 82 298 77 308 73 316 69 301 71 306 28984 27437 79 301 72 309 69 311 67 304 68 302 27437 25837 75 303 68 310 66 309 62 306 64 302 25837 24183 70 304 64 309 63 310 59 308 61 304 24183 22477 66 303 60 309 62 310 58 313 58 306 22477 20709 65 307 58 311 61 310 57 318 56 305 20709 18874 64 311 58 314 59 312 54 320 52 303 18874 17008 61 311 57 316 56 315 49 320 47 305 17008 15210 56 311 53 318 51 318 43 321 42 309 15210 13574 51 312 46 321 42 320 37 322 35 315 13574 12117 45 317 39 326 32 325 30 321 28 317 12117 10822 40 320 32 330 23 329 21 314 22 310 10822 9667 36 321 28 335 14*332 13*318 17 290 9667 8639 32 319 24 338 13*335 12*324 12 286 8639 7723 26 315 15*334 13 337 12 328 10 306 7723 6910 20*317 12*333 13 339 13 335 11 335 6910 6185 18*323 11 333 13 342 13 339 12 352 6185 5529 18 327 11 334 13 343 14 342 13 002 5529 4945 18 330 11 334 13 345 14 344 14 005 4945 4453 17 332 11 335 13 346 14 346 14 006 4453 4073 17 333 10 336 13 347 13 347 14 007 4073 3809 16 333 10 336 13 347 13 347 13 008 3809 3649 15 334 9 336 12 347 13 348 12 008 3649 3557 12 334 9 336 11 348 11 348 10*008 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography