DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 Atkins_VA 2558ft pt29724@36.958,-81.342,2720ft SPONSORED BY: Randy Newberry BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.5 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 64.2 - - 63.1 - - 62.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 75 - - 18 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 259 - - 258 - - 259 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2801 - - 2800 - - 2800 - - 2800 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2817 - - 2817 - - 2816 - - 2817 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3883 - - 3428 - - 3162 - - 2891 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 131 - - 116 - - 75 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 15 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 055 - - 152 - - 101 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2236 - - -470 - - -67 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5053 - - 3287 - - 2883 - - 2817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3680 - - -1228 - - -896 - - -1279 ODpotential blCL - - - 6497 - - 4045 - - 3712 - - 4096 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 230 - - 370 - - 350 - - 430 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 64.2 - - 63.1 - - 62.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.3 - - 59.0 - - 59.6 - - 60.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 62.9 - - 62.3 - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 58.1 - - 59.1 - - 60.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 75 - - 18 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 259 - - 259 - - 258 - - 259 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 93 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98408 12 077 10 081 7 070 6 055 98408 91016 16 109 16 116 17 057 14 072 91016 85338 21 113 19 106 18 076 18 080 85338 80632 18 103 17 097 16 096 17 080 80632 76583 16 104 14 098 13 116 13 057 76583 73004 17 102 13 126 9 142 9 036 73004 69754 9 106 11 133 10 161 2 025 69754 66763 10 131 10 138 10 161 8 208 66763 63996 6 136 11 146 8 209 9 216 63996 61323 3 275 5 198 12 226 13 239 61323 58536 11 259 11 242 11 233 12 228 58536 55626 24 273 14 249 11 266 9 264 55626 52832 32 268 28 278 29 283 43 259 52832 50307 50 264 49 264 42 253 45 247 50307 48037 47 247 46 249 42 229 36 258 48037 45973 38 250 37 259 48 271 56 260 45973 44090 61 273 66 265 71 258 68 261 44090 42369 80 251 78 245 75 245 78 253 42369 40787 77 244 83 234 72 244 77 249 40787 39318 78 248 73 233 75 248 78 251 39318 37942 79 250 68 238 81 249 81 253 37942 36619 75 253 67 241 84 249 84 253 36619 35283 70 255 68 242 83 249 88 253 35283 33904 65 255 69 243 78 250 89 251 33904 32482 62 249 71 246 75 250 88 249 32482 31002 66 246 67 247 72 248 87 249 31002 29452 70 244 56 240 68 245 81 253 29452 27835 56 249 55 237 64 244 75 255 27835 26151 47 256 56 240 55 242 66 253 26151 24407 44 257 47 241 49 243 56 249 24407 22608 36 253 33 246 46 256 46 250 22608 20748 29 238 28 259 49 258 43 247 20748 18818 25 228 33 265 44 255 45 253 18818 16856 21 225 35 248 22 248 42 265 16856 14972 21 227 33 228 18 225 28 264 14972 13262 22 229 27 202 18 220 13 234 13262 11741 23 225 23 195 20 221 11 232 11741 10388 22 222 19 199 21 215 17 205 10388 9182 17 230 15 203 22 205 24 202 9182 8105 12 240 10 198 20 201 26 198 8105 7147 8 256 6 169 16 197 21 195 7147 6297 6 278 5 128 14 190 17 188 6297 5541 5 263 5 115 12 182 15 181 5541 4859 4 255 5 109 10 175 12 172 4859 4252 3 254 4 107 10 173 10 159 4252 3742 2 256 2 089 8 163 8 143 3742 3348 2 254 2 072 6 157 7 129 3348 3077 2 256 2 064 6 154 6 118 3077 2911 2*258 2*057 5 152 5*110 2911 2817 1*252 1*055 4*152 3*101 2817 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography