DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.8 - - 57.2 - - 60.6 - - 59.6 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 57 - - 461 - - 475 - - 165 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 6674 - - 8188 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth Hcrit 9346 - - 13832 - - 15080 - - 9346 - - 9346 Hcrit BL Top 9363 - - 15474 - - 16988 - - 9363 - - 9363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3538 - - 1935 - - 2142 - - 10674 - - 6560 Hgt.Variab. W* 147 - - 638 - - 690 - - 200 - - 19 W* B/S 14 - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 17 - - 16 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 271 - - 289 - - 299 - - 288 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -37 - - -36 - - -13 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3625 - - 368 - - 584 - - -7187 - - -6217 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12988 - - 15107 - - 16405 - - 16551 - - 15581 sfcLCL ODpotential -7042 - - -3344 - - -2499 - - -8936 - - -9949 ODpotential blCL 16405 - - 18818 - - 19487 - - 18299 - - 19312 blCL maxRH 39 - - 48 - - 56 - - 66 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.8 - - 57.2 - - 60.6 - - 59.6 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.6 - - 23.3 - - 20.9 - - 19.5 - - 16.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.4 - - 53.7 - - 57.0 - - 57.6 - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.4 - - 22.2 - - 19.9 - - 18.3 - - 15.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 57 - - 461 - - 475 - - 165 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 563 - - 6674 - - 8188 - - 563 - - 563 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98467 23 109 14 117 14 108 16 108 11 103 98467 91034 22 094 14 107 18 095 16 110 14 094 91034 85286 18 102 18 116 15 104 16 101 16 091 85286 80527 14 124 18 113 13 121 11 088 17 103 80527 76437 13 129 15 138 11 148 7 063 15 097 76437 72817 4 150 14 152 10 167 6 198 6 068 72817 69533 1 226 7 171 8 186 9 198 1 315 69533 66514 4 249 9 227 14 210 14 234 10 254 66514 63721 10 260 15 247 14 242 21 239 16 251 63721 61017 11 249 21 240 20 256 18 253 26 251 61017 58195 23 285 20 268 23 260 20 268 26 246 58195 55269 29 269 29 275 25 274 28 281 26 279 55269 52496 20 301 30 268 29 277 33 289 34 289 52496 50014 23 312 22 291 27 272 30 290 34 284 50014 47791 20 325 17 311 15 270 22 287 25 282 47791 45782 22 354 25 354 15 339 14 296 18 276 45782 43960 28 011 31 006 23 353 15 295 16 275 43960 42293 34 028 32 020 22 012 11 300 18 276 42293 40743 37 030 30 029 19 024 8 310 17 275 40743 39293 36 029 26 033 14 025 10 324 13 278 39293 37939 34 030 23 032 14 019 14 324 11 279 37939 36651 36 024 23 023 15 011 15 320 15 290 36651 35371 34 016 24 016 17 356 16 320 18 294 35371 34076 29 013 24 012 19 343 19 317 21 291 34076 32770 25 009 23 002 19 338 20 315 21 285 32770 31445 25 351 23 345 19 339 21 312 23 285 31445 30093 26 343 22 334 23 334 23 307 26 293 30093 28721 26 344 23 329 25 328 23 306 28 299 28721 27333 23 339 22 327 24 324 23 305 27 299 27333 25934 20 330 22 323 23 320 22 304 25 297 25934 24530 17 317 21 321 23 314 22 306 24 292 24530 23117 13 311 20 319 23 310 24 313 25 289 23117 21695 14 309 18 314 22 309 25 320 25 299 21695 20286 16 310 18 310 20 312 24 326 24 312 20286 18951 18 313 18 309 17 313 23 326 21 320 18951 17741 20 316 18 308 16*310 23 323 19 319 17741 16655 21 315 17 304 16*308 23 321 20 315 16655 15670 21 312 17*297 16 306 22 314 20 308 15670 14769 20 307 18*294 16 304 22 311 21 300 14769 13941 19 303 18 293 17 302 21 307 22 294 13941 13178 18 302 18 291 17 300 20 301 23 289 13178 12481 17 301 18 290 17 298 20 297 23 284 12481 11841 15 300 18 289 17 297 20 295 23 281 11841 11247 13 299 17 288 17 295 19 294 23 278 11247 10704 10 299 17 287 17 294 19 292 22 276 10704 10237 7 302 17 286 17 292 18 291 19 274 10237 9870 4 298 16 285 16 291 17 291 16 273 9870 9613 3 286 15 284 15 290 17 289 12 272 9613 9454 2*280 14 283 14 290 15*289 8*274 9454 9363 2*271 10 282 11 288 11*288 4*290 9363 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography