DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/17 AirSailing_NV 4300ft pt36781@40.056,-119.529,4344ft SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.1 - - 67.4 - - 74.7 - - 75.6 - - 70.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 40 - - 42 - - 10 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4077 - - 4077 - - 4078 - - 4078 - - 4078 Hcrit BL Top 4094 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 - - 4095 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2054 - - 4421 - - 9474 - - 10963 - - 448 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 37 - - 39 - - 28 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 313 - - 339 - - 332 - - 316 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4131 - - -3689 - - -5585 - - -4874 - - -5888 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8226 - - 7784 - - 9681 - - 8970 - - 9984 sfcLCL ODpotential -9274 - - -6652 - - -7272 - - -6735 - - -8736 ODpotential blCL 13368 - - 10747 - - 11367 - - 10830 - - 12831 blCL maxRH 51 - - 52 - - 37 - - 47 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 140 - - 570 - - 1360 - - 290 CAPE Temp@2m 62.1 - - 67.4 - - 74.7 - - 75.6 - - 70.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.3 - - 47.3 - - 46.2 - - 50.2 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.0 - - 67.4 - - 74.6 - - 76.1 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.2 - - 46.2 - - 45.0 - - 49.0 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 40 - - 42 - - 10 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98512 28 102 20 101 20 099 23 100 24 108 98512 91094 21 111 17 096 26 102 18 112 21 108 91094 85349 14 127 14 142 14 127 16 110 19 114 85349 80553 10 140 15 150 13 169 8 111 9 089 80553 76407 6 154 12 138 7 163 3 153 4 086 76407 72745 6 199 3 149 4 173 2 269 3 162 72745 69437 3 202 3 307 4 206 5 247 3 217 69437 66405 5 318 9 270 6 266 5 282 4 329 66405 63600 14 319 15 275 16 290 11 310 12 311 63600 60892 20 297 21 303 25 282 18 296 16 293 60892 58072 24 292 22 309 25 287 23 290 19 288 58072 55149 26 299 23 287 25 288 29 286 24 285 55149 52366 27 299 25 286 26 283 29 282 27 279 52366 49867 28 282 30 289 30 283 28 284 26 275 49867 47633 28 272 32 280 36 273 33 279 30 286 47633 45617 29 275 33 271 36 263 36 266 36 278 45617 43786 32 271 34 269 34 268 34 269 34 267 43786 42107 34 265 39 269 35 278 32 281 32 275 42107 40551 36 262 42 268 38 282 36 285 36 283 40551 39099 36 262 43 272 41 282 39 283 39 286 39099 37735 37 266 43 274 43 280 42 283 41 284 37735 36426 38 275 43 275 44 279 44 282 43 282 36426 35111 40 283 45 278 46 277 46 281 45 280 35111 33759 41 288 47 282 47 276 46 281 46 280 33759 32373 43 291 48 285 46 276 46 284 46 285 32373 30940 45 289 48 289 45 280 46 287 44 290 30940 29451 45 289 46 289 46 284 44 287 42 291 29451 27909 43 291 45 286 44 287 39 291 38 293 27909 26315 41 292 45 286 39 294 35 300 35 296 26315 24673 40 294 40 293 36 301 34 303 31 297 24673 22984 36 298 34 302 34 303 33 302 27 298 22984 21242 32 300 29 308 33 304 31 301 24 299 21242 19440 28 301 28 308 32 306 26 301 21 301 19440 17610 26 303 27 307 28 306 21 300 18 301 17610 15849 24 305 24 307 22 304 16 299 16 296 15849 14244 22 304 21 306 18 295 14 305 12 284 14244 12810 20 300 19 303 15 289 14 310 11 291 12810 11526 20 294 18 297 15 292 14 312 12 302 11526 10370 20 290 18 290 15 295 15 314 14 312 10370 9330 19 290 17 287 15 300 15 315 15 320 9330 8397 17 294 15 287 14 306 15 317 16 325 8397 7563 15 301 13 290 14 312 15 317 17 329 7563 6817 13 313 11 296 14 317 15 317 18 331 6817 6140 12 324 10 305 14 321 15 318 18 333 6140 5535 12 330 8 314 13 324 15 318 18 335 5535 5025 11 325 7 324 12 327 14 318 18 336 5025 4630 10 317 6 332 11 329 13 318 17 337 4630 4357 9 315 6 338 10 330 13 319 15 338 4357 4190 7*313 5*341 10*330 12*318 12*337 4190 4094 4*313 4*339 8*332 9*316 8*339 4094 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography